The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (5‑8) vs Minnesota (11‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
8 | Notre Dame Sweeps 1 Game | 60% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 56% | 27% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 1 Game | 55% | 28% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (4‑6) vs Michigan (8‑2‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Penn State Sweeps 1 Game | 60% | 26% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 56% | 27% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 1 Game | 56% | 27% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (5‑8) vs Minnesota (11‑2) |
8 | Notre Dame Wins | 60% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 56% | 27% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 55% | 28% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (4‑6) vs Michigan (8‑2‑1) |
7 | Penn State Wins | 60% | 26% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 56% | 27% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 56% | 27% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||