The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Ohio State (2‑2) vs Michigan (5‑0) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Notre Dame (2‑2) vs Wisconsin (4‑0) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 30% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 23% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Minnesota (0‑3) vs Penn State (0‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Ohio State (2‑2) vs Michigan (5‑0) |
3 | Ohio State Wins | 30% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 28% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Penn State (0‑3) vs Minnesota (0‑3) |
0 | Penn State Wins | 28% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 28% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Notre Dame (2‑2) vs Wisconsin (4‑0) |
0 | Notre Dame Wins | 28% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 28% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||