Where are the Notre Dame Fighting Irish going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Notre Dame standings table presents the probabilities of the Fighting Irish winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 |
| Michigan State | 4i Michigan State Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Ohio State 4-2 Won Sat, Nov 09 vs Ohio State 4-1 Won Fri, Nov 15 vs N.Dame 8-3 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs N.Dame 4-3 Fri, Nov 29 vs Lindenwood Sun, Dec 01 vs Lindenwood |
0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 59% | 26% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Minnesota | 3 Minnesota Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 14 vs Bemidji State 5-3 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Bemidji State 1-3 Fri, Nov 22 @ N.Dame Sat, Nov 23 @ N.Dame |
1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17% | 27% | 27% | 21% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 2 Wisconsin Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 08 vs Minnesota 2-3 Lost Sat, Nov 09 vs Minnesota 2-3 Won Fri, Nov 15 @ Penn State 5-4 Won Sat, Nov 16 @ Penn State 6-3 Fri, Nov 29 vs Anchorage Sat, Nov 30 vs Anchorage |
1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 39% | 17% |
| Michigan | 1 Michigan Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 01 @ Boston University 5-1 Won Sat, Nov 02 @ Boston University 5-4 Won Fri, Nov 08 vs N.Dame 2-1 Won Sat, Nov 09 vs N.Dame 4-2 Fri, Nov 22 @ Penn State Sat, Nov 23 @ Penn State |
1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Ohio State | 1 Ohio State Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ Michigan State 2-4 Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Michigan State 1-4 Won Fri, Nov 15 @ Lindenwood 5-2 Won Sat, Nov 16 @ Lindenwood 3-2 Fri, Nov 29 @ Princeton Sat, Nov 30 @ Princeton |
1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7% | 21% | 27% | 28% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Notre Dame | 0 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ Michigan 1-2 Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Michigan 2-4 Lost Fri, Nov 15 @ Michigan State 3-8 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Michigan State 3-4 Fri, Nov 22 vs Minnesota Sat, Nov 23 vs Minnesota |
1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 25% | 27% | 32% |
| Penn State | 0 Penn State Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 01 @ Minnesota 1-3 Lost Sat, Nov 02 @ Minnesota 0-1 Lost Fri, Nov 15 vs Wisconsin 4-5 Lost Sat, Nov 16 vs Wisconsin 3-6 Fri, Nov 22 vs Michigan Sat, Nov 23 vs Michigan |
0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 25% | 49% |
| Record | Total | Home (16%) |
Away (84%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | <1% | |||||||
| (5)Ohio State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 23% |
| (2)Minnesota | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26% | 3% | 23% |
| (4)Michigan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23% | 2% | 21% |
| (1)Michigan State | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13% | <1% | 13% |
| (3)Wisconsin | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| (7)Penn State | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wisconsin (4‑8) |
3‑2 (OT) | Home | Fri Nov 1, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Wisconsin (4‑8) |
1‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 2, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Michigan (7‑2‑1) |
1‑2 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Michigan (7‑2‑1) |
2‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 9, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (9‑1) |
3‑8 | Away | Fri Nov 15, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (9‑1) |
3‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 16, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Minnesota (10‑2) |
Home | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 8 | Minnesota (10‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 23, 6:00 pm | |
| 11 | Ohio State (9‑2‑1) |
Away | Fri Dec 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | Ohio State (9‑2‑1) |
Away | Sat Dec 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Penn State (4‑5) |
Home | Fri Jan 3, 8:30 pm | |
| 14 | Penn State (4‑5) |
Home | Sun Jan 5, 5:00 pm | |
| 15 | Michigan (7‑2‑1) |
Home | Fri Jan 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Michigan (7‑2‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 11, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | Minnesota (10‑2) |
Away | Fri Jan 17, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Minnesota (10‑2) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:00 pm | |
| 19 | Ohio State (9‑2‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 7, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Ohio State (9‑2‑1) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 20 | Penn State (4‑5) |
Away | Fri Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Penn State (4‑5) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 5:00 pm | |
| 21 | Wisconsin (4‑8) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, 8:30 pm | |
| 21 | Wisconsin (4‑8) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:30 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan State (9‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan State (9‑1) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 6:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St. Lawrence (4‑7) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Away | Fri Oct 11, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Clarkson (8‑3‑1) |
ECACECAC | 5‑2 | Away | Sat Oct 12, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Alaska (4‑6‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 18, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Alaska (4‑6‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 0‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 19, 6:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (4‑4‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (4‑4‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 26, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Harvard (2‑2‑1) |
ECACECAC | Home | Fri Nov 29, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | TBD | ‑‑ | Home | Sat Nov 30, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | Lindenwood (2‑9‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Fri Jan 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Lindenwood (2‑9‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Sat Jan 25, 6:00 pm |