The Most Important Games for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Irish final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Notre Dame Fighting Irish fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (4‑18‑1) vs Ohio State (8‑12‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Notre Dame Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Michigan State (18‑5) vs Minnesota (8‑15‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Michigan State Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Wisconsin (15‑6‑2) vs Penn State (17‑6) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Wisconsin Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (4‑18‑1) vs Ohio State (8‑12‑1) |
0 | Notre Dame Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Michigan State (18‑5) vs Minnesota (8‑15‑1) |
0 | Michigan State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Wisconsin (15‑6‑2) vs Penn State (17‑6) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Penn State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||