The Most Important Games for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Irish final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Notre Dame Fighting Irish fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (5‑7) vs Minnesota (10‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
9 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 29% | 27% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 25% | 27% | 32% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 29% | 36% | ||
| Penn State (4‑5) vs Michigan (7‑2‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 21% | 24% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 25% | 27% | 32% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 27% | 28% | 30% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (5‑7) vs Minnesota (10‑2) |
5 | Notre Dame Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 28% | 28% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 25% | 27% | 32% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 25% | 29% | 34% | ||
| Penn State (4‑5) vs Michigan (7‑2‑1) |
0 | Penn State Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 23% | 25% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 25% | 27% | 32% | ||
| Michigan Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 26% | 28% | 31% | ||