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Sat Oct 10 1:15 am

Big 10 Football - Week 6 of 13

Indiana Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Indiana Hoosiers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hoosiers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Indiana Hoosiers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Indiana Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Indiana Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Indiana
(5‑0)

vs
Nebraska
(5‑0)
23 Indiana Wins 21% 16% 13% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska Wins 5% 9% 11% 11% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Maryland
(2‑3)

vs
Ohio St.
(4‑1)
1 Maryland Wins 14% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Ohio St. Wins 14% 12% 11% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon
(3‑1)

vs
UCLA
(4‑0)
1 Oregon Wins 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
UCLA Wins 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Illinois
(2‑3)

vs
Michigan St.
(2‑3)
0 Illinois Wins 14% 13% 11% 10% 9% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan St. Wins 14% 13% 11% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Purdue
(2‑3)

vs
Minnesota
(4‑1)
0 Purdue Wins 14% 12% 11% 9% 9% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Wins 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
USC
(5‑1)

vs
Penn St.
(3‑2)
0 USC Wins 14% 12% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn St. Wins 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant