Are the USC Trojans going to play in the Conference Championship game? The USC standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 9 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| Indiana | 7i Indiana Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Michigan St. 38-13 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs UCLA 56-6 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Maryland 55-10 Won Sat, Nov 08 @ Penn St. 27-24 Sat, Nov 15 vs Wisconsin Fri, Nov 28 @ Purdue |
0 | 7 | 65% | 30% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Ohio St. | 6 Ohio St. Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Illinois 34-16 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Wisconsin 34-0 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Penn St. 38-14 Won Sat, Nov 08 @ Purdue 34-10 Sat, Nov 15 vs UCLA Sat, Nov 22 vs Rutgers Sat, Nov 29 @ Michigan |
0 | 6 | 31% | 40% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| USC | 5 USC Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Michigan 31-13 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Notre Dame 24-34 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Nebraska 21-17 Won Fri, Nov 07 vs N. Western 38-17 Sat, Nov 15 vs Iowa Sat, Nov 22 @ Oregon Sat, Nov 29 vs UCLA |
1 | 6 | 1% | 9% | 33% | 25% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Oregon | 5 Oregon Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Indiana 20-30 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Rutgers 56-10 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Wisconsin 21-7 Won Sat, Nov 08 @ Iowa 18-16 Fri, Nov 14 vs Minnesota Sat, Nov 22 vs USC Sat, Nov 29 @ Wash. |
1 | 6 | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Michigan | 5 Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ USC 13-31 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Wash. 24-7 Won Sat, Oct 25 @ Michigan St. 31-20 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Purdue 21-16 Sat, Nov 15 @ N. Western Sat, Nov 22 @ Maryland Sat, Nov 29 vs Ohio St. |
1 | 6 | 3% | 13% | 12% | 23% | 24% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Iowa | 4 Iowa Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Wisconsin 37-0 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Penn St. 25-24 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Minnesota 41-3 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs Oregon 16-18 Sat, Nov 15 @ USC Sat, Nov 22 vs Michigan St. Fri, Nov 28 @ Nebraska |
2 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Minnesota | 4 Minnesota Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Purdue 27-20 Won Fri, Oct 17 vs Nebraska 24-6 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Iowa 3-41 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Michigan St. 23-20 Fri, Nov 14 @ Oregon Sat, Nov 22 @ N. Western Sat, Nov 29 vs Wisconsin |
2 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Nebraska | 4 Nebraska Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 17 @ Minnesota 6-24 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs N. Western 28-21 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs USC 17-21 Won Sat, Nov 08 @ UCLA 28-21 Sat, Nov 22 @ Penn St. Fri, Nov 28 vs Iowa |
3 | 7 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Illinois | 3 Illinois Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 04 @ Purdue 43-27 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Ohio St. 16-34 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Wash. 25-42 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Rutgers 35-13 Sat, Nov 15 vs Maryland Sat, Nov 22 @ Wisconsin Sat, Nov 29 vs N. Western |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Washington | 3 Washington Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 10 vs Rutgers 38-19 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Michigan 7-24 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Illinois 42-25 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Wisconsin 10-13 Sat, Nov 15 vs Purdue Sat, Nov 22 @ UCLA Sat, Nov 29 vs Oregon |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 3 Northwestern Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Penn St. 22-21 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Purdue 19-0 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Nebraska 21-28 Lost Fri, Nov 07 @ USC 17-38 Sat, Nov 15 vs Michigan Sat, Nov 22 vs Minnesota Sat, Nov 29 @ Illinois |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 30% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| UCLA | 3 UCLA Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Michigan St. 38-13 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Maryland 20-17 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Indiana 6-56 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs Nebraska 21-28 Sat, Nov 15 @ Ohio St. Sat, Nov 22 vs Wash. Sat, Nov 29 @ USC |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 36% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Rutgers | 2 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Oregon 10-56 Won Sat, Oct 25 @ Purdue 27-24 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ Illinois 13-35 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Maryland 35-20 Sat, Nov 22 @ Ohio St. Sat, Nov 29 vs Penn St. |
5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 34% | 21% | 13% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Maryland | 1 Maryland Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Nebraska 31-34 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ UCLA 17-20 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Indiana 10-55 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Rutgers 20-35 Sat, Nov 15 @ Illinois Sat, Nov 22 vs Michigan Sat, Nov 29 @ Michigan St. |
5 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 28% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 4% |
| Wisconsin | 1 Wisconsin Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Iowa 0-37 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Ohio St. 0-34 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Oregon 7-21 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Wash. 13-10 Sat, Nov 15 @ Indiana Sat, Nov 22 vs Illinois Sat, Nov 29 @ Minnesota |
5 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 28% | 27% | 15% | 3% |
| Michigan St. | 0 Michigan St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs UCLA 13-38 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Indiana 13-38 Lost Sat, Oct 25 vs Michigan 20-31 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ Minnesota 20-23 Sat, Nov 15 vs Penn St. Sat, Nov 22 @ Iowa Sat, Nov 29 vs Maryland |
6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 17% | 22% | 18% | 14% |
| Penn St. | 0 Penn St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs N. Western 21-22 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Iowa 24-25 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ Ohio St. 14-38 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs Indiana 24-27 Sat, Nov 15 @ Michigan St. Sat, Nov 22 vs Nebraska Sat, Nov 29 @ Rutgers |
6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 24% | 21% |
| Purdue | 0 Purdue Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ N. Western 0-19 Lost Sat, Oct 25 vs Rutgers 24-27 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ Michigan 16-21 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs Ohio St. 10-34 Sat, Nov 15 @ Wash. Fri, Nov 28 vs Indiana |
7 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 28% | 58% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Indiana | 7 | 0 | 8% |
| (2)Ohio St. | 6 | 0 | 1% |
| (5)Michigan | 5 | 1 | 1% |
| (4)Oregon | 5 | 1 | <1% |
| (6)Iowa | 4 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)Minnesota | 4 | 2 | <1% |
| (8)Nebraska | 4 | 3 | X |
| (9)Illinois | 3 | 3 | X |
| (10)Washington | 3 | 3 | X |
| (11)NorthwesternN. Western | 3 | 3 | X |
| (12)UCLA | 3 | 3 | X |
| Elimination | 91% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Purdue (2‑8) |
33‑17 | Away | Sat Sep 13, 3:30 pm |
| 4 | Michigan St. (3‑6) |
45‑31 | Home | Sat Sep 20, 11:00 pm |
| 5 | Illinois (6‑3) |
32‑34 | Away | Sat Sep 27, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan (7‑2) |
31‑13 | Home | Sat Oct 11, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Nebraska (7‑3) |
21‑17 | Away | Sat Nov 1, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | NorthwesternN. Western (5‑4) |
38‑17 | Home | Fri Nov 7, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | Iowa (6‑3) |
Home | Sat Nov 15, 3:30 pm | |
| 13 | Oregon (8‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | UCLA (3‑6) |
Home | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Missouri St. (6‑3) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 73‑13 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Ga. Southern (4‑5) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 59‑20 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 7:30 pm |
| 8 | Notre Dame (7‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 24‑34 | Away | Sat Oct 18, 7:30 pm |