The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Wisconsin (5‑6) vs Minnesota (6‑5) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 14% | 27% | 4% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 9% | 11% | 24% | 9% | 2% | 14% | 18% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa (7‑4) vs Nebraska (6‑5) |
0 | Iowa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 24% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 14% | 28% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana (10‑1) vs Purdue (1‑10) |
0 | Indiana Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. (5‑6) vs Rutgers (6‑5) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 18% | 22% | 34% | 15% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 16% | 36% | 43% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (4‑7) vs Illinois (8‑3) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 9% | 12% | 19% | 8% | 2% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 8% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 9% | 11% | 20% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 25% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon (11‑0) vs Washington (6‑5) |
0 | Oregon Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 11% | 12% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 7% | 29% | 9% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. (10‑1) vs Michigan (6‑5) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 10% | 10% | 18% | 9% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 18% | 22% | 6% | <1% | 7% | 17% | 21% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn St. (10‑1) vs Maryland (4‑7) |
0 | Penn St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||