The Most Important Games for the USC Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. USC Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
USC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| USC (4‑1) vs Michigan (4‑1) |
13 | USC Wins | 5% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon (5‑0) vs Indiana (5‑0) |
3 | Oregon Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 2% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois (5‑1) vs Ohio St. (5‑0) |
1 | Illinois Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue (2‑3) vs Minnesota (3‑2) |
1 | Purdue Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. (3‑2) vs UCLA (1‑4) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (4‑1) vs Nebraska (4‑1) |
0 | Maryland Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers (3‑2) vs Washington (4‑1) |
0 | Rutgers Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington Wins | 3% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa (3‑2) vs Wisconsin (2‑3) |
0 | Iowa Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (3‑2) vs Penn St. (3‑2) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn St. Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||