The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| TCU (13‑7) vs Houston (17‑2) |
22 | TCU Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Houston Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Arizona (21‑0) vs Arizona St. (11‑10) |
1 | Arizona Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Baylor (11‑8) vs Cincinnati (10‑10) |
1 | Baylor Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Texas Tech (16‑4) vs UCF (16‑4) |
1 | Texas Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UCF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| BYU (17‑3) vs Kansas (15‑5) |
1 | BYU Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Iowa St. (18‑2) vs Colorado (12‑8) |
0 | Iowa St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Colorado Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Utah (9‑11) vs Oklahoma St. (14‑6) |
0 | Utah Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||