The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCF Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| UCF (4‑0) vs Texas Tech (4‑0) |
32 | UCF Wins | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Utah (3‑1) vs Baylor (4‑1) |
3 | Utah Wins | 15% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Baylor Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. (5‑1) vs BYU (4‑0) |
2 | Arizona St. Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BYU Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (3‑1) vs Houston (2‑1) |
1 | Oklahoma St. Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Cincinnati (4‑0) vs Kansas St. (3‑1) |
0 | Cincinnati Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (4‑0) vs Iowa St. (3‑0) |
0 | Colorado Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia (3‑1) vs Kansas (5‑0) |
0 | West Virginia Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TCU (4‑1) vs Arizona (2‑1) |
0 | TCU Wins | 14% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||