Where are the Cal Poly Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Cal Poly standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Hawai'i | 7i Hawai'i Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 @ Cal Poly 86-66 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ UCSB 62-77 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs CSU Bakersfield 98-71 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs CSU Northridge 89-68 Thu, Jan 29 @ UC Irvine Sat, Jan 31 @ Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 07 vs UC San Diego Thu, Feb 12 @ CSU Bakersfield |
2 | 9 | 44% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UC Irvine | 7 UC Irvine Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Hawai'i 66-67 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ UC Davis 72-75 Won Thu, Jan 22 @ UC Riverside 80-66 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ UC San Diego 61-59 Thu, Jan 29 vs Hawai'i Thu, Feb 05 vs CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 07 @ UCSB Thu, Feb 12 @ Cal Poly |
2 | 9 | 32% | 28% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCSB | 6 UCSB Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 @ CSU Bakersfield 75-69 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Hawai'i 77-62 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Cal Poly 107-67 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Long Beach St. 74-71 Thu, Jan 29 @ UC San Diego Sat, Jan 31 vs CSU Fullerton Thu, Feb 05 @ UC Davis Sat, Feb 07 vs UC Irvine |
3 | 9 | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| UC San Diego | 5 UC San Diego Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 15 vs CSU Northridge 79-84 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ CSU Bakersfield 83-62 Won Thu, Jan 22 @ UC Davis 80-74 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs UC Irvine 59-61 Thu, Jan 29 vs UCSB Sat, Jan 31 @ CSU Northridge Thu, Feb 05 vs Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 07 @ Hawai'i |
4 | 9 | 10% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| UC Davis | 5 UC Davis Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 vs CSU Fullerton 74-69 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs UC Irvine 75-72 Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs UC San Diego 74-80 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs UC Riverside 74-66 Thu, Jan 29 @ CSU Northridge Sat, Jan 31 @ CSU Bakersfield Thu, Feb 05 vs UCSB Sat, Feb 07 vs Cal Poly |
4 | 9 | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% |
| CSU Fullerton | 5 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ UC Davis 69-74 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ UC Riverside 72-81 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Long Beach St. 71-61 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Cal Poly 93-78 Sat, Jan 31 @ UCSB Thu, Feb 05 vs UC Riverside Sat, Feb 07 vs CSU Bakersfield Thu, Feb 12 @ Long Beach St. |
5 | 10 | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 14% |
| Long Beach St. | 4 Long Beach St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 vs UC Riverside 88-73 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ CSU Northridge 87-80 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ CSU Fullerton 61-71 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs UCSB 71-74 Thu, Jan 29 @ UC Riverside Sat, Jan 31 vs Hawai'i Thu, Feb 05 @ UC San Diego Thu, Feb 12 vs CSU Fullerton |
5 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 42% |
| CSU Northridge | 4 CSU Northridge Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ CSU Fullerton 79-86 Won Thu, Jan 15 @ UC San Diego 84-79 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Long Beach St. 80-87 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Hawai'i 68-89 Thu, Jan 29 vs UC Davis Sat, Jan 31 vs UC San Diego Thu, Feb 05 @ Cal Poly Sat, Feb 07 vs UC Riverside |
5 | 9 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 16% |
| Cal Poly | 3 Cal Poly Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs UC Davis 84-78 Lost Thu, Jan 15 vs Hawai'i 66-86 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ UCSB 67-107 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs CSU Fullerton 78-93 Thu, Jan 29 @ CSU Bakersfield Sat, Jan 31 @ UC Riverside Thu, Feb 05 vs CSU Northridge Sat, Feb 07 @ UC Davis |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 69% |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Long Beach St. 75-81 Lost Thu, Jan 15 vs UCSB 69-75 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs UC San Diego 62-83 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Hawai'i 71-98 Thu, Jan 29 vs Cal Poly Sat, Jan 31 vs UC Davis Thu, Feb 05 @ UC Irvine Sat, Feb 07 @ CSU Fullerton |
7 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 75% |
| UC Riverside | 2 UC Riverside Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Long Beach St. 73-88 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs CSU Fullerton 81-72 Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs UC Irvine 66-80 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ UC Davis 66-74 Thu, Jan 29 vs Long Beach St. Sat, Jan 31 vs Cal Poly Thu, Feb 05 @ CSU Fullerton Sat, Feb 07 @ CSU Northridge |
7 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 76% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 1% | ||
| (6)CSU Fullerton | 5 | 5 | 6% |
| (8)CSU Northridge | 4 | 5 | 5% |
| (5)UC Davis | 5 | 4 | 5% |
| (3)UCSB | 6 | 3 | 4% |
| (4)UC San Diego | 5 | 4 | 3% |
| (7)Long Beach St. | 4 | 5 | 2% |
| (2)UC Irvine | 7 | 2 | 2% |
| (1)Hawai'i | 7 | 2 | 1% |
| (11)UC Riverside | 2 | 7 | 1% |
| (10)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 | 7 | 1% |
| Elimination | 69% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CSU Fullerton (10‑12) |
94‑91 | Away | Thu Dec 4, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | UC Riverside (7‑14) |
84‑88 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | UC San Diego (15‑6) |
67‑65 | Home | Thu Jan 1, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | Long Beach St. (8‑13) |
66‑74 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | CSU Northridge (11‑10) |
90‑95 | Away | Thu Jan 8, 10:00 pm |
| 10 | UC Davis (12‑8) |
84‑78 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Hawai'i (15‑4) |
66‑86 | Home | Thu Jan 15, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | UCSB (13‑7) |
67‑107 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | CSU Fullerton (10‑12) |
78‑93 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑13) |
Away | Thu Jan 29, 9:30 pm | |
| 13 | UC Riverside (7‑14) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | CSU Northridge (11‑10) |
Home | Thu Feb 5, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | UC Davis (12‑8) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 5:00 pm | |
| 15 | UC Irvine (14‑7) |
Home | Thu Feb 12, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | UCSB (13‑7) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawai'i (15‑4) |
Away | Thu Feb 19, 11:59 pm | |
| 17 | Long Beach St. (8‑13) |
Home | Thu Feb 26, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | UC San Diego (15‑6) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | UC Irvine (14‑7) |
Away | Thu Mar 5, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑13) |
Home | Sat Mar 7, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC (14‑5) |
Big 10Big 10 | 64‑94 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Pacific Lutheran | ‑‑ | 101‑79 | Home | Wed Nov 5 |
| 1 | Seattle (14‑8) |
West CoastWest Coast | 73‑71 | Away | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Colorado St. (12‑8) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 79‑93 | Away | Wed Nov 12 |
| 2 | Montana (12‑9) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 82‑90 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Utah (9‑11) |
Big 12Big 12 | 92‑85 | Away | Thu Nov 20, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Northern Arizona (7‑14) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 87‑93 | Away | Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | SE Missouri St. (11‑10) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 68‑84 | Home | Tue Nov 25, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Redlands | ‑‑ | 87‑81 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Montana St. (13‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑83 | Home | Tue Dec 16, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | UCLA (14‑6) |
Big 10Big 10 | 87‑108 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | Idaho (12‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑83 (OT) | Home | Sun Dec 21, 7:00 pm |