The Most Important Games for the UC San Diego Tritons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tritons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC San Diego Tritons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC San Diego Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC San Diego (15‑6) vs UCSB (13‑7) |
57 | UC San Diego Wins | 13% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UCSB Wins | 5% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑13) vs Cal Poly (7‑14) |
3 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 11% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | 10% | 17% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UC Riverside (7‑14) vs Long Beach St. (8‑13) |
2 | UC Riverside Wins | 11% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | 10% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Hawai'i (15‑4) vs UC Irvine (14‑7) |
2 | Hawai'i Wins | 11% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 11% | 17% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UC Davis (12‑8) vs CSU Northridge (11‑10) |
0 | UC Davis Wins | 10% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 10% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||