The Most Important Games for the UC San Diego Tritons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tritons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC San Diego Tritons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC San Diego Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC San Diego (9‑1) vs Cal Poly (5‑6) |
29 | UC San Diego Wins | 49% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑8) vs UC Irvine (7‑4) |
4 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 47% | 22% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 46% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UC Riverside (5‑6) vs Hawai'i (10‑2) |
3 | UC Riverside Wins | 48% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 45% | 22% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (5‑7) vs UCSB (8‑3) |
3 | CSU Fullerton Wins | 47% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UCSB Wins | 46% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| CSU Northridge (6‑5) vs UC Davis (5‑4) |
1 | CSU Northridge Wins | 47% | 22% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 47% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||