The Most Important Games for the Bowling Green Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bowling Green Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Bowling Green (12‑6‑4) vs Bemidji State (9‑12‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
27 | Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 11% | 18% | 23% | 31% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 21% | 50% | 12% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (1‑23) vs Michigan Tech (16‑8‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (9‑14‑1) vs St. Thomas (14‑7‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 22% | 25% | 14% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 27% | 33% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Augustana (16‑6‑3) vs Minnesota State (12‑8‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Augustana Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 25% | 30% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota State Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 25% | 32% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Bowling Green (12‑6‑4) vs Bemidji State (9‑12‑3) |
14 | Bowling Green Wins | 4% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 28% | 21% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Wins | 1% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 24% | 40% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (1‑23) vs Michigan Tech (16‑8‑2) |
2 | Northern Michigan Wins | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Augustana (16‑6‑3) vs Minnesota State (12‑8‑5) |
0 | Augustana Wins | 3% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 25% | 30% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota State Wins | 3% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 25% | 32% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lake Superior (9‑14‑1) vs St. Thomas (14‑7‑3) |
0 | Lake Superior Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 28% | 9% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 3% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 26% | 32% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||