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Sat Oct 24 10:30 pm

CCHA Hockey - Week 5 of 22

Bowling Green Falcons Standings

Where are the Bowling Green Falcons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Bowling Green standings table presents the probabilities of the Falcons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

CCHA Hockey Standings
Record Regular Season Finish
Team WRi
Schedule Content
Wins in Regulation
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Loses in OT and SO
LRi
Loses in Regulation
GPi
Games Played
26 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantange
5 6 7 8
Bowling Green 2i
Bowling Green Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 16 vs Niagara           2-3
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Niagara           1-2

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  Lake S.           6-2
Won  Sat, Oct 24 @  Lake S.           4-2

     Fri, Nov 06 vs Bemidji State     
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Bemidji State     

0 0 0 2 6 12% 22% 18% 15% 13% 11% 7% 2%
Michigan Tech 1
Michigan Tech Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 16 vs Alaska            3-0
Won  Sat, Oct 17 vs Alaska            4-2

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  Ferris State      3-1
Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Ferris State      1-2

     Fri, Nov 06 vs Augustana         
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Augustana         

0 0 1 2 3 13% 24% 19% 15% 13% 9% 5% 2%
Ferris State 1
Ferris State Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 09 vs Western Michigan  1-5

Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Michigan Tech     1-3
Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Michigan Tech     2-1

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Bemidji State     
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Bemidji State     

0 0 1 2 3 1% 6% 11% 14% 16% 18% 18% 16%
Augustana 0
Augustana Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  Nebraska-Omaha    3-2

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  Ohio State        3-2
Won  Sat, Oct 24 @  Ohio State        4-3

     Fri, Oct 30 vs Northern Michigan 
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Northern Michigan 

0 0 0 0 0 66% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan 0
Northern Michigan Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 09 @  Michigan State    2-6
Lost Sun, Oct 11 @  Michigan State    1-5

Won  Fri, Oct 16 vs Stonehill         5-1
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Stonehill         1-2

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Augustana         
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Augustana         

0 0 0 0 0 4% 12% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 12%
Minnesota State 0
Minnesota State Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  St. Thomas        3-1

Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs St. Thomas        2-0

     Fri, Oct 30 vs Lake S.           
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Lake S.           

0 0 0 0 0 3% 9% 13% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16%
Bemidji State 0
Bemidji State Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 23 @  Minnesota-Duluth  1-4

Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs Minnesota-Duluth  0-3

     Fri, Oct 30 vs Ferris State      
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Ferris State      

0 0 0 0 0 1% 5% 10% 13% 14% 16% 19% 22%
Lake Superior 0
Lake Superior Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 16 @  Anchorage         2-5
Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  Anchorage         4-2

Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs B. Green          2-6
Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs B. Green          2-4

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Minnesota State   
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Minnesota State   

0 0 2 2 0 <1% 2% 7% 11% 14% 16% 20% 29%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament


(1) Falcons 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(67%)
Away
(33%)
Opponent WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
(3)Ferris State 1 0 0 1 3 18% 13% 5%
(7)Bemidji State 0 0 0 0 0 17% 13% 4%
(6)Minnesota State 0 0 0 0 0 17% 12% 5%
(8)Lake Superior 0 0 0 2 0 16% 14% 2%
(5)Northern Michigan 0 0 0 0 0 16% 11% 6%
(2)Michigan Tech 1 0 0 1 3 11% 5% 6%
(4)Augustana 0 0 0 0 0 4% <1% 4%



Falcons Conference Schedule
Current Week 6
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
4 Lake Superior
(2‑4)
6‑2 Away Fri Oct 23, 7:07 pm
4 Lake Superior
(2‑4)
4‑2 Away Sat Oct 24, 7:07 pm
6 Bemidji State
(1‑4)
  Home Fri Nov 6, 7:07 pm
6 Bemidji State
(1‑4)
  Home Sat Nov 7, 6:07 pm
7 Northern Michigan
(2‑4)
  Away Fri Nov 13, 7:07 pm
7 Northern Michigan
(2‑4)
  Away Sat Nov 14, 6:07 pm
8 Augustana
(5‑0‑1)
  Home Fri Nov 20, 7:07 pm
8 Augustana
(5‑0‑1)
  Home Sat Nov 21, 6:07 pm
10 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
  Away Fri Dec 4, 8:07 pm
10 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
  Away Sat Dec 5, 7:07 pm
11 Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)
  Home Fri Dec 11, 7:07 pm
11 Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)
  Home Sat Dec 12, 6:07 pm
15 Lake Superior
(2‑4)
  Home Fri Jan 8, 7:07 pm
15 Lake Superior
(2‑4)
  Home Sat Jan 9, 6:07 pm
16 Bemidji State
(1‑4)
  Away Fri Jan 15, 8:07 pm
16 Bemidji State
(1‑4)
  Away Sat Jan 16, 7:07 pm
17 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
  Home Fri Jan 22, 7:07 pm
17 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
  Home Sat Jan 23, 7:07 pm
19 Northern Michigan
(2‑4)
  Home Fri Feb 5, 7:07 pm
19 Northern Michigan
(2‑4)
  Home Sat Feb 6, 6:07 pm
20 Augustana
(5‑0‑1)
  Away Fri Feb 12, 8:07 pm
20 Augustana
(5‑0‑1)
  Away Sat Feb 13, 7:07 pm
21 Michigan Tech
(6‑2)
  Home Fri Feb 19, 7:07 pm
21 Michigan Tech
(6‑2)
  Home Sat Feb 20, 6:07 pm
22 Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)
  Away Fri Feb 26, 7:07 pm
22 Ferris State
(1‑4‑1)
  Away Sat Feb 27, 6:07 pm


Falcons Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Michigan
(7‑0)
Big 10Big 10 2‑7 Away Fri Oct 2, 7:00 pm
1 Michigan
(7‑0)
Big 10Big 10 3‑4 Home Sat Oct 3, 6:07 pm
2 Sacred Heart
(3‑3)
AtlanticAtl. 3‑2 Away Fri Oct 9, 7:00 pm
2 ConnecticutUConn
(3‑3)
EastEast 5‑2 Away Sat Oct 10, 6:00 pm
3 Niagara
(4‑4)
AtlanticAtl. 2‑3 (OT) Home Fri Oct 16, 7:07 pm
3 Niagara
(4‑4)
AtlanticAtl. 1‑2 Home Sat Oct 17, 6:07 pm
9 Notre Dame
(2‑4)
Big 10Big 10   Away Tue Nov 24, 6:30 pm
9 Maryville ‑‑   Home Fri Nov 27, 7:07 pm
9 Maryville ‑‑   Home Sat Nov 28, 6:07 pm
14 Denver
(3‑2)
NCHCNCHC   Home Fri Jan 1, 7:07 pm
14 Denver
(3‑2)
NCHCNCHC   Home Sat Jan 2, 6:07 pm