The Jacksonville St. Gamecocks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Jacksonville St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 0 | 25% | 36% | 23% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 0 | 24% | 31% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 1 | 19% | 23% | 19% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 31% | 36% | 21% | 10% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 24% | 31% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 18% | 22% | 17% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Missouri St. beats Liberty Jacksonville St. beats UTEP New Mexico St. beats Kennesaw St. |
Worst Case Scenario Liberty beats Missouri St. UTEP beats Jacksonville St. Kennesaw St. beats New Mexico St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 7 | 1 | 61% | 39% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 12% | 56% | 28% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 3% | 35% | 47% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | X | 2% | 20% | 41% | 26% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ |