The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| New Mexico St. (3‑2) vs Liberty (2‑4) |
14 | New Mexico St. Wins | 9% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Liberty Wins | 1% | ^ | 1% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 10% | ||
| Delaware (3‑2) vs Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (3‑3) |
3 | Delaware Wins | 8% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. Wins | 1% | ^ | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 7% | ||
| Florida Intl. (2‑3) vs W. Kentucky (5‑1) |
0 | Florida Intl. Wins | 8% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| W. Kentucky Wins | 1% | ^ | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | ||
| UTEP (1‑5) vs Sam Houston (0‑6) |
0 | UTEP Wins | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | ^ | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Sam Houston Wins | 1% | ^ | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 6% | ||