The Sam Houston Bearkats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Sam Houston plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 20% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 0 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 20% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 20% | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Current Standings | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 20% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 65% | 29% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 6 | 2 | 19% | 42% | 29% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 5 | 3 | 1% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 33% | 31% | 14% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 2 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 29% | 44% | 19% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 70% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 96% | ^ | ^ |