The Sam Houston Bearkats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Sam Houston plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 25% | 28% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 27% | 46% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 25% | 28% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 4% | 23% | 38% | 26% | 7% | 1% | X | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 32% | 36% | 15% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 | 5 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 23% | 42% | 25% | 5% | <1% |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 36% | 38% | 12% |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 30% | 67% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |