The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (16‑15‑2) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (12‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
11 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | 70% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 50% | 44% | 6% | ^ | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (17‑10‑5) vs New Hampshire (14‑17‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 40% | 15% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 30% | 17% | 7% | ^ | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (19‑12‑1) vs Boston College (19‑12‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Vermont (12‑20‑1) vs Maine (18‑12‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Maine Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (16‑15‑2) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (12‑20) |
11 | Merrimack Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 70% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 50% | 44% | 6% | ^ | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (17‑10‑5) vs New Hampshire (14‑17‑1) |
2 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 40% | 15% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 30% | 17% | 7% | ^ | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (19‑12‑1) vs Boston College (19‑12‑1) |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Boston College Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Vermont (12‑20‑1) vs Maine (18‑12‑3) |
0 | Vermont Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Maine Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 37% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ||