Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
| ConnecticutUConn | 6i Connecticut Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 05 @ Merrimack 3-0 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Merrimack 5-2 Wed, Dec 31 vs Long Island |
2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 21% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Boston College | 7 Boston College Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 05 @ Mass.-Lowell 3-1 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Mass.-Lowell 3-1 Sun, Dec 28 @ Western Michigan |
0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NortheasternN. Eastern | 4 Northeastern Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 29 vs Brown 4-1 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Massachusetts 3-2 Sun, Dec 07 vs Massachusetts Sat, Dec 13 vs Boston University |
1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| New Hampshire | 5 New Hampshire Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Bentley 3-0 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ Maine 1-0 Won Sat, Dec 06 @ Maine 3-2 Sun, Dec 14 vs Dartmouth |
0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Providence | 4 Providence Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 22 @ Massachusetts 5-1 Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ Colorado College 2-3 Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Colorado College 2-1 Tue, Dec 09 @ Brown |
0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Maine | 4 Maine Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 21 @ Boston College 3-7 Won Sat, Nov 22 @ Boston College 3-0 Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs New Hampshire 0-1 Lost Sat, Dec 06 vs New Hampshire 2-3 Wed, Dec 10 vs Mass.-Lowell |
1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Boston University | 3 Boston University Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Cornell 2-1 Won Fri, Dec 05 vs Vermont 2-1 Lost Sat, Dec 06 vs Vermont 2-3 Sat, Dec 13 @ N. Eastern |
2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Merrimack | 3 Merrimack Recent Games Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs UConn 0-3 Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ UConn 2-5 Fri, Dec 12 vs Yale |
0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 25% | 26% |
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 3 Mass.-Lowell Recent Games Lost Fri, Dec 05 vs Boston College 1-3 Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ Boston College 1-3 Wed, Dec 10 @ Maine |
0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 31% |
| Vermont | 3 Vermont Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ Dartmouth 2-7 Lost Fri, Dec 05 @ Boston University 1-2 Won Sat, Dec 06 @ Boston University 3-2 Sat, Dec 13 vs Army |
0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% |
| MassachusettsMass. | 1 Massachusetts Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ Army 4-5 Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ N. Eastern 2-3 Sun, Dec 07 @ N. Eastern Fri, Jan 09 vs Boston University |
1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 20% |
| Record | Total | Home (26%) |
Away (68%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 5% | |||||||
| (10)Vermont | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 16% | 6% | 9% |
| (11)MassachusettsMass. | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14% | 6% | 8% |
| (9)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12% | 6% | 6% |
| (7)Boston University | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12% | 2% | 10% |
| (6)Maine | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12% | 2% | 10% |
| (5)Providence | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10% | 2% | 9% |
| (4)New Hampshire | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9% | 2% | 7% |
| (1)ConnecticutUConn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 4% | <1% | 4% |
| (2)Boston College | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 3% | <1% | 3% |
| (3)NortheasternN. Eastern | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 3% | <1% | 2% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑10) |
0‑4 | Away | Fri Oct 3 |
| 2 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑10) |
4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 10 |
| 3 | New Hampshire (9‑7) |
5‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 18 |
| 5 | ConnecticutUConn (9‑5‑3) |
1‑5 | Away | Sat Nov 1, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (8‑8‑1) |
2‑3 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 7, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (8‑8‑1) |
4‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (7‑6‑2) |
2‑4 | Away | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (7‑6‑2) |
3‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (9‑5‑3) |
0‑3 | Home | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (9‑5‑3) |
2‑5 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm |
| 14 | Vermont (5‑9) |
Away | Mon Dec 29, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (8‑9) |
Home | Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (8‑9) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (10‑4) |
Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (10‑4) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | New Hampshire (9‑7) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | New Hampshire (9‑7) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (10‑5‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (10‑5‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (8‑7‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (8‑7‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (5‑9) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (5‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑10) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Quinnipiac (12‑4‑2) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (6‑9) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Long Island (6‑9) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 6‑2 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Notre Dame (4‑11‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 4‑5 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Dartmouth (10‑0) |
ECACECAC | 0‑1 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Yale (4‑7) |
ECACECAC | Home | Fri Dec 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | Long Island (6‑9) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | Brown (3‑9) |
ECACECAC | Away | Sat Jan 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Holy Cross (10‑6‑1) |
AtlanticAtl. | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Stonehill (2‑13‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm |