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Mon Feb 17 11:00 am

Hockey East - Week 21 of 23

Merrimack Warriors Standings

Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Hockey East Standings
Record Regular Season Finish
Team WRi
Schedule Content
Wins in Regulation
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Loses in OT and SO
LRi
Loses in Regulation
GPi
Games Played
24 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Boston College 12i
Boston College Recent Games

Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Massachusetts     2-3

Won  Sat, Feb 15 @  Massachusetts     4-1

     Fri, Feb 21 @  Vermont           
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Vermont           

2 1 4 19 41 82% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Maine 10
Maine Recent Games

Won  Fri, Feb 07 @  Provid.           3-3
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  Provid.           1-0

Won  Fri, Feb 14 vs New Hampshire     1-1
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs New Hampshire     5-2

     Fri, Feb 21 @  UConn             

5 1 3 19 41 18% 79% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Boston University 10
Boston University Recent Games

Lost Fri, Feb 14 @  Provid.           3-6

Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs Provid.           3-0

     Fri, Feb 21 vs N. Eastern        

2 1 6 19 35 <1% 4% 76% 13% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 8
Mass.-Lowell Recent Games

Lost Fri, Feb 14 @  N. Eastern        0-2

Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs N. Eastern        3-1

     Sat, Feb 22 @  Provid.           

2 1 8 19 29 <1% <1% 6% 29% 23% 20% 14% 6% 1% <1% <1%
ConnecticutUConn 6
Connecticut Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Mass.-Lowell      5-4

Won  Wed, Feb 12 vs Anchorage         5-2

     Fri, Feb 21 vs Maine             

3 4 6 19 28 <1% <1% 5% 23% 27% 23% 12% 6% 2% 1% <1%
Merrimack 8
Merrimack Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  New Hampshire     5-4

Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Vermont           2-4
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs Vermont           4-3

     Fri, Feb 28 @  Provid.           

2 0 10 20 28 X X <1% 2% 7% 13% 25% 29% 17% 6% <1%
Providence 5
Providence Recent Games

Won  Fri, Feb 14 vs Boston University 6-3

Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  Boston University 0-3

     Sat, Feb 22 vs Mass.-Lowell      

3 6 5 19 27 <1% <1% 8% 27% 25% 21% 12% 6% 2% <1% <1%
MassachusettsMass. 7
Massachusetts Recent Games

Won  Fri, Feb 14 @  Boston College    3-2

Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Boston College    1-4

     Fri, Feb 21 @  New Hampshire     

1 1 9 18 24 <1% <1% 1% 5% 10% 16% 24% 27% 12% 4% 1%
Vermont 4
Vermont Recent Games

Won  Fri, Feb 07 @  Mass.-Lowell      5-3

Won  Fri, Feb 14 @  Merrimack         4-2
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  Merrimack         3-4

     Fri, Feb 21 vs Boston College    
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Boston College    

3 4 7 18 22 X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 30% 39% 8%
NortheasternN. Eastern 4
Northeastern Recent Games

Won  Fri, Feb 14 vs Mass.-Lowell      2-0

Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  Mass.-Lowell      1-3

     Fri, Feb 21 @  Boston University 

3 2 9 18 20 X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 30% 34% 13%
New Hampshire 3
New Hampshire Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Merrimack         4-5

Lost Fri, Feb 14 @  Maine             1-1
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  Maine             2-5

     Fri, Feb 21 vs Massachusetts     

0 5 10 18 14 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 15% 78%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament


(6) Warriors 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(68%)
Away
(22%)
Opponent WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
Bye 10%
(10)NortheasternN. Eastern 4 3 2 9 20 30% 23% 7%
(9)Vermont 4 3 4 7 22 28% 21% 7%
(11)New Hampshire 3 0 5 10 14 16% 16% <1%
(8)MassachusettsMass. 7 1 1 9 24 10% 6% 4%
(5)ConnecticutUConn 6 3 4 6 28 3% 1% 2%
(4)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 8 2 1 8 29 2% <1% 1%
(7)Providence 5 3 6 5 27 1% <1% <1%
(3)Boston University 10 2 1 6 35 <1% <1% <1%
(1)Boston College 12 2 1 4 41 <1% X <1%
(2)Maine 10 5 1 3 41 <1% X <1%
Elimination X



Warriors Conference Schedule
Current Week 22
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
3 New Hampshire
(11‑13‑4)
0‑0 (SO) Home Fri Oct 18, 7:00 pm
4 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(15‑11‑3)
3‑6 Home Sat Oct 26, 7:00 pm
5 Maine
(19‑5‑5)
0‑5 Away Fri Nov 1, 7:30 pm
5 Maine
(19‑5‑5)
0‑6 Away Sat Nov 2, 7:30 pm
6 ConnecticutUConn
(16‑10‑3)
4‑1 Home Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm
6 ConnecticutUConn
(16‑10‑3)
5‑2 Away Sat Nov 9, 3:30 pm
8 Boston University
(17‑11‑1)
3‑6 Away Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm
9 Boston University
(17‑11‑1)
2‑6 Home Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm
11 NortheasternN. Eastern
(10‑15‑3)
4‑1 Home Sat Dec 14, 6:00 pm
15 Boston College
(22‑6‑1)
5‑2 Away Fri Jan 10, 7:00 pm
15 Boston College
(22‑6‑1)
1‑4 Home Sat Jan 11, 7:00 pm
16 MassachusettsMass.
(16‑12‑2)
3‑2 Home Fri Jan 17, 7:00 pm
16 MassachusettsMass.
(16‑12‑2)
2‑5 Away Sat Jan 18, 6:00 pm
17 NortheasternN. Eastern
(10‑15‑3)
4‑3 Away Sat Jan 25, 7:00 pm
18 MassachusettsMass.
(16‑12‑2)
2‑4 Away Fri Jan 31, 7:00 pm
18 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(15‑11‑3)
2‑3 Away Sat Feb 1, 6:00 pm
19 Boston University
(17‑11‑1)
2‑1 (OT) Home Fri Feb 7, 7:00 pm
19 New Hampshire
(11‑13‑4)
5‑4 Away Sat Feb 8, 7:00 pm
20 Vermont
(11‑14‑3)
2‑4 Home Fri Feb 14, 7:00 pm
20 Vermont
(11‑14‑3)
4‑3 Home Sat Feb 15, 7:00 pm
22 Providence
(17‑8‑5)
  Away Fri Feb 28, 7:00 pm
22 Providence
(17‑8‑5)
  Home Sat Mar 1, 7:00 pm
23 NortheasternN. Eastern
(10‑15‑3)
  Home Thu Mar 6, 7:00 pm
23 Boston College
(22‑6‑1)
  Away Sat Mar 8, 7:00 pm


Warriors Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Stonehill
(10‑21)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 2‑3 (OT) Home Sun Oct 6, 4:00 pm
2 Minnesota State
(20‑8‑2)
CCHACCHA 1‑0 Away Fri Oct 11, 8:07 pm
2 Minnesota State
(20‑8‑2)
CCHACCHA 1‑4 Away Sat Oct 12, 7:07 pm
7 Stonehill
(10‑21)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 3‑4 (OT) Away Tue Nov 12, 7:00 pm
9 Harvard
(9‑14‑2)
ECACECAC 2‑4 Away Sat Nov 30, 3:00 pm
10 Anchorage
(5‑22‑5)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 4‑2 Home Fri Dec 6, 7:00 pm
10 Anchorage
(5‑22‑5)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 1‑3 Home Sat Dec 7, 7:00 pm
14 Army
(13‑16‑2)
AtlanticAtlantic 5‑2 Away Fri Jan 3, 7:00 pm
14 Dartmouth
(12‑11‑2)
ECACECAC 2‑1 Home Sun Jan 5, 2:00 pm
17 Brown
(12‑11‑2)
ECACECAC 1‑5 Home Tue Jan 21, 7:00 pm