Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
Boston College | 12i Boston College Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Massachusetts 2-3 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Massachusetts 4-1 Fri, Feb 21 @ Vermont Sat, Feb 22 @ Vermont |
2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 82% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Maine | 10 Maine Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 07 @ Provid. 3-3 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Provid. 1-0 Won Fri, Feb 14 vs New Hampshire 1-1 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs New Hampshire 5-2 Fri, Feb 21 @ UConn |
5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 18% | 79% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Boston University | 10 Boston University Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 14 @ Provid. 3-6 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Provid. 3-0 Fri, Feb 21 vs N. Eastern |
2 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 35 | <1% | 4% | 76% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 8 Mass.-Lowell Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 14 @ N. Eastern 0-2 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs N. Eastern 3-1 Sat, Feb 22 @ Provid. |
2 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 29 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 29% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
ConnecticutUConn | 6 Connecticut Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Mass.-Lowell 5-4 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs Anchorage 5-2 Fri, Feb 21 vs Maine |
3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 28 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 23% | 27% | 23% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Merrimack | 8 Merrimack Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 @ New Hampshire 5-4 Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Vermont 2-4 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Vermont 4-3 Fri, Feb 28 @ Provid. |
2 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 28 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 25% | 29% | 17% | 6% | <1% |
Providence | 5 Providence Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 14 vs Boston University 6-3 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Boston University 0-3 Sat, Feb 22 vs Mass.-Lowell |
3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 27 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 27% | 25% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
MassachusettsMass. | 7 Massachusetts Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 14 @ Boston College 3-2 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Boston College 1-4 Fri, Feb 21 @ New Hampshire |
1 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 24 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 27% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
Vermont | 4 Vermont Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 07 @ Mass.-Lowell 5-3 Won Fri, Feb 14 @ Merrimack 4-2 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Merrimack 3-4 Fri, Feb 21 vs Boston College Sat, Feb 22 vs Boston College |
3 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 22 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 30% | 39% | 8% |
NortheasternN. Eastern | 4 Northeastern Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 14 vs Mass.-Lowell 2-0 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Mass.-Lowell 1-3 Fri, Feb 21 @ Boston University |
3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 20 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 30% | 34% | 13% |
New Hampshire | 3 New Hampshire Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Merrimack 4-5 Lost Fri, Feb 14 @ Maine 1-1 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Maine 2-5 Fri, Feb 21 vs Massachusetts |
0 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 14 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 78% |
Record | Total | Home (68%) |
Away (22%) |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
Bye | 10% | |||||||
(10)NortheasternN. Eastern | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 30% | 23% | 7% |
(9)Vermont | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 28% | 21% | 7% |
(11)New Hampshire | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 16% | 16% | <1% |
(8)MassachusettsMass. | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 10% | 6% | 4% |
(5)ConnecticutUConn | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
(4)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 8 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 2% | <1% | 1% |
(7)Providence | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
(3)Boston University | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 35 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
(1)Boston College | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 41 | <1% | X | <1% |
(2)Maine | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 41 | <1% | X | <1% |
Elimination | X |
Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|
3 | New Hampshire (11‑13‑4) |
0‑0 (SO) | Home | Fri Oct 18, 7:00 pm |
4 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (15‑11‑3) |
3‑6 | Home | Sat Oct 26, 7:00 pm |
5 | Maine (19‑5‑5) |
0‑5 | Away | Fri Nov 1, 7:30 pm |
5 | Maine (19‑5‑5) |
0‑6 | Away | Sat Nov 2, 7:30 pm |
6 | ConnecticutUConn (16‑10‑3) |
4‑1 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
6 | ConnecticutUConn (16‑10‑3) |
5‑2 | Away | Sat Nov 9, 3:30 pm |
8 | Boston University (17‑11‑1) |
3‑6 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
9 | Boston University (17‑11‑1) |
2‑6 | Home | Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
11 | NortheasternN. Eastern (10‑15‑3) |
4‑1 | Home | Sat Dec 14, 6:00 pm |
15 | Boston College (22‑6‑1) |
5‑2 | Away | Fri Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
15 | Boston College (22‑6‑1) |
1‑4 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 7:00 pm |
16 | MassachusettsMass. (16‑12‑2) |
3‑2 | Home | Fri Jan 17, 7:00 pm |
16 | MassachusettsMass. (16‑12‑2) |
2‑5 | Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:00 pm |
17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (10‑15‑3) |
4‑3 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 7:00 pm |
18 | MassachusettsMass. (16‑12‑2) |
2‑4 | Away | Fri Jan 31, 7:00 pm |
18 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (15‑11‑3) |
2‑3 | Away | Sat Feb 1, 6:00 pm |
19 | Boston University (17‑11‑1) |
2‑1 (OT) | Home | Fri Feb 7, 7:00 pm |
19 | New Hampshire (11‑13‑4) |
5‑4 | Away | Sat Feb 8, 7:00 pm |
20 | Vermont (11‑14‑3) |
2‑4 | Home | Fri Feb 14, 7:00 pm |
20 | Vermont (11‑14‑3) |
4‑3 | Home | Sat Feb 15, 7:00 pm |
22 | Providence (17‑8‑5) |
Away | Fri Feb 28, 7:00 pm | |
22 | Providence (17‑8‑5) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 7:00 pm | |
23 | NortheasternN. Eastern (10‑15‑3) |
Home | Thu Mar 6, 7:00 pm | |
23 | Boston College (22‑6‑1) |
Away | Sat Mar 8, 7:00 pm |
Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stonehill (10‑21) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑3 (OT) | Home | Sun Oct 6, 4:00 pm |
2 | Minnesota State (20‑8‑2) |
CCHACCHA | 1‑0 | Away | Fri Oct 11, 8:07 pm |
2 | Minnesota State (20‑8‑2) |
CCHACCHA | 1‑4 | Away | Sat Oct 12, 7:07 pm |
7 | Stonehill (10‑21) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 3‑4 (OT) | Away | Tue Nov 12, 7:00 pm |
9 | Harvard (9‑14‑2) |
ECACECAC | 2‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 30, 3:00 pm |
10 | Anchorage (5‑22‑5) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑2 | Home | Fri Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
10 | Anchorage (5‑22‑5) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 1‑3 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 7:00 pm |
14 | Army (13‑16‑2) |
AtlanticAtlantic | 5‑2 | Away | Fri Jan 3, 7:00 pm |
14 | Dartmouth (12‑11‑2) |
ECACECAC | 2‑1 | Home | Sun Jan 5, 2:00 pm |
17 | Brown (12‑11‑2) |
ECACECAC | 1‑5 | Home | Tue Jan 21, 7:00 pm |