Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
| Boston College | 9i Boston College Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 24 @ Boston University 6-2 Won Sat, Jan 25 vs Boston University 2-0 Fri, Jan 31 vs Mass.-Lowell |
2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 88% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Boston University | 8 Boston University Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 24 vs Boston College 2-6 Lost Sat, Jan 25 @ Boston College 0-2 Fri, Jan 31 vs New Hampshire |
2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 1% | 14% | 27% | 24% | 18% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Maine | 7 Maine Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 10 @ Mass.-Lowell 3-1 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Mass.-Lowell 2-1 Lost Fri, Jan 17 vs UConn 2-4 Won Sat, Jan 18 vs UConn 2-2 Fri, Jan 31 vs N. Eastern |
2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 9% | 52% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ConnecticutUConn | 6 Connecticut Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 24 @ Quinnipiac 2-1 Won Sat, Jan 25 @ Sacred Heart 1-0 Fri, Jan 31 @ Provid. |
1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 24 | <1% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 25% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 6 Mass.-Lowell Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 24 vs Provid. 3-3 Won Sat, Jan 25 @ Provid. 1-0 Fri, Jan 31 @ Boston College |
2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 1% | 10% | 23% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Merrimack | 6 Merrimack Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 21 vs Brown 1-5 Won Sat, Jan 25 @ N. Eastern 4-3 Fri, Jan 31 @ Massachusetts |
1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 20 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 4% |
| Providence | 3 Providence Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 24 @ Mass.-Lowell 3-3 Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs Mass.-Lowell 0-1 Fri, Jan 31 vs UConn |
3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | <1% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| NortheasternN. Eastern | 3 Northeastern Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 17 @ Vermont 2-1 Won Sat, Jan 18 @ Vermont 3-2 Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs Merrimack 3-4 Fri, Jan 31 @ Maine |
3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 21% | 27% | 21% | 12% |
| Vermont | 2 Vermont Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 17 vs N. Eastern 1-2 Lost Sat, Jan 18 vs N. Eastern 2-3 Won Fri, Jan 24 @ New Hampshire 3-2 Lost Sat, Jan 25 @ New Hampshire 2-5 Fri, Feb 07 @ Mass.-Lowell |
3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 28% | 39% |
| MassachusettsMass. | 4 Massachusetts Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 18 vs Merrimack 5-2 Won Fri, Jan 24 vs Alaska 4-2 Won Sat, Jan 25 vs Alaska 7-3 Fri, Jan 31 vs Merrimack |
1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 17% |
| New Hampshire | 3 New Hampshire Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 18 @ Boston University 1-2 Lost Fri, Jan 24 vs Vermont 2-3 Won Sat, Jan 25 vs Vermont 5-2 Fri, Jan 31 @ Boston University |
0 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 24% | 27% |
| Record | Total | Home (64%) |
Away (25%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 11% | |||||||
| (9)Vermont | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 22% | 19% | 3% |
| (8)NortheasternN. Eastern | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 21% | 17% | 5% |
| (11)New Hampshire | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19% | 16% | 3% |
| (10)MassachusettsMass. | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 18% | 12% | 6% |
| (7)Providence | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 3% | <1% | 2% |
| (4)ConnecticutUConn | 6 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
| (5)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 2% | <1% | 1% |
| (2)Boston University | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| (3)Maine | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (1)Boston College | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 32 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New Hampshire (11‑9‑3) |
0‑0 (SO) | Home | Fri Oct 18, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (13‑7‑3) |
3‑6 | Home | Sat Oct 26, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Maine (15‑5‑3) |
0‑5 | Away | Fri Nov 1, 7:30 pm |
| 5 | Maine (15‑5‑3) |
0‑6 | Away | Sat Nov 2, 7:30 pm |
| 6 | ConnecticutUConn (14‑8‑2) |
4‑1 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | ConnecticutUConn (14‑8‑2) |
5‑2 | Away | Sat Nov 9, 3:30 pm |
| 8 | Boston University (13‑9‑1) |
3‑6 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Boston University (13‑9‑1) |
2‑6 | Home | Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
| 11 | NortheasternN. Eastern (9‑11‑3) |
4‑1 | Home | Sat Dec 14, 6:00 pm |
| 15 | Boston College (18‑4‑1) |
5‑2 | Away | Fri Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Boston College (18‑4‑1) |
1‑4 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (13‑10‑2) |
3‑2 | Home | Fri Jan 17, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (13‑10‑2) |
2‑5 | Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:00 pm |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (9‑11‑3) |
4‑3 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 7:00 pm |
| 18 | MassachusettsMass. (13‑10‑2) |
Away | Fri Jan 31, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (13‑7‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 1, 6:00 pm | |
| 19 | Boston University (13‑9‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 7, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | New Hampshire (11‑9‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Vermont (9‑13‑3) |
Home | Fri Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Vermont (9‑13‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Providence (15‑6‑3) |
Away | Fri Feb 28, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Providence (15‑6‑3) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 7:00 pm | |
| 23 | NortheasternN. Eastern (9‑11‑3) |
Home | Thu Mar 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 23 | Boston College (18‑4‑1) |
Away | Sat Mar 8, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stonehill (9‑19) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑3 (OT) | Home | Sun Oct 6, 4:00 pm |
| 2 | Minnesota State (17‑7‑2) |
CCHACCHA | 1‑0 | Away | Fri Oct 11, 8:07 pm |
| 2 | Minnesota State (17‑7‑2) |
CCHACCHA | 1‑4 | Away | Sat Oct 12, 7:07 pm |
| 7 | Stonehill (9‑19) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 3‑4 (OT) | Away | Tue Nov 12, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Harvard (7‑10‑2) |
ECACECAC | 2‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 30, 3:00 pm |
| 10 | Anchorage (5‑17‑4) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑2 | Home | Fri Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Anchorage (5‑17‑4) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 1‑3 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Army (11‑15) |
AtlanticAtlantic | 5‑2 | Away | Fri Jan 3, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Dartmouth (11‑7‑2) |
ECACECAC | 2‑1 | Home | Sun Jan 5, 2:00 pm |
| 17 | Brown (7‑9‑2) |
ECACECAC | 1‑5 | Home | Tue Jan 21, 7:00 pm |