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Tue Jan 14 8:30 am

Hockey East - Week 16 of 23

Providence Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Providence Friars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Friars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Providence Friars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Providence Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Providence Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Providence
(15‑3‑2)

vs
Boston College
(13‑4‑1)

1 Game Remaining
8 Providence Sweeps 1 Game 26% 24% 20% 13% 10% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston College Sweeps 1 Game 11% 16% 25% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Maine
(15‑4‑2)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(12‑8‑1)

2 Games Remaining
4 Maine Sweeps 2 Games 15% 20% 25% 18% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 2 Games 23% 18% 17% 15% 12% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Vermont
(8‑10‑3)

vs
NortheasternN. Eastern
(7‑10‑4)

2 Games Remaining
1 Vermont Sweeps 2 Games 18% 20% 23% 17% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 2 Games 18% 20% 23% 17% 12% 7% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1%
New Hampshire
(10‑6‑3)

vs
Boston University
(11‑7‑1)

1 Game Remaining
1 New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game 18% 21% 23% 16% 11% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston University Sweeps 1 Game 18% 19% 22% 17% 13% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
MassachusettsMass.
(10‑10‑2)

vs
Merrimack
(8‑11‑1)

1 Game Remaining
0 MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game 18% 20% 22% 17% 12% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game 18% 20% 23% 17% 12% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%


Providence Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Providence Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Providence
(15‑3‑2)

vs
Boston College
(13‑4‑1)
8 Providence Wins 26% 24% 20% 13% 10% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston College Wins 11% 16% 25% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Maine
(15‑4‑2)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(12‑8‑1)
3 Maine Wins 16% 20% 24% 17% 12% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
ConnecticutUConn Wins 20% 19% 20% 15% 11% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern
(7‑10‑4)

vs
Vermont
(8‑10‑3)
1 NortheasternN. Eastern Wins 18% 20% 22% 16% 12% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Vermont Wins 17% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1%
New Hampshire
(10‑6‑3)

vs
Boston University
(11‑7‑1)
1 New Hampshire Wins 18% 21% 23% 16% 11% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston University Wins 18% 19% 22% 17% 13% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
MassachusettsMass.
(10‑10‑2)

vs
Merrimack
(8‑11‑1)
0 MassachusettsMass. Wins 18% 20% 22% 17% 12% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 20% 23% 16% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Merrimack Wins 18% 20% 23% 17% 12% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament