The Most Important Games for the Providence Friars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Friars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Providence Friars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Providence Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Providence (12‑7‑2) vs Boston College (11‑7‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
15 | Providence Sweeps 1 Game | 45% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑13) vs Boston University (11‑10‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | 35% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (13‑6‑3) vs Vermont (8‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | 35% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | 38% | 23% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑9) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (11‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | 35% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack (10‑11) vs MassachusettsMass. (11‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 35% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 35% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Providence Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Providence (12‑7‑2) vs Boston College (11‑7‑1) |
15 | Providence Wins | 45% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College Wins | 21% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑13) vs Boston University (11‑10‑1) |
1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | 36% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston University Wins | 35% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (13‑6‑3) vs Vermont (8‑12) |
1 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | 35% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 38% | 23% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑9) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (11‑9) |
1 | New Hampshire Wins | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 35% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack (10‑11) vs MassachusettsMass. (11‑10) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | 35% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | 35% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||