The Most Important Games for the Vermont Catamounts are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Catamounts final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Vermont Catamounts fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Vermont Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Vermont (5‑10) vs Merrimack (7‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
11 | Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 23% | 29% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (9‑9) vs Boston University (9‑8‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑11) vs ConnecticutUConn (9‑5‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 23% | ||
| Providence (8‑6‑2) vs Maine (11‑7‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Providence Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Vermont Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Vermont (5‑10) vs Merrimack (7‑10) |
11 | Vermont Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 23% | 29% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (9‑9) vs Boston University (9‑8‑1) |
2 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑11) vs ConnecticutUConn (9‑5‑3) |
1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 23% | ||
| Maine (11‑7‑1) vs Providence (8‑6‑2) |
0 | Maine Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% | ||
| Providence Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 24% | ||