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Mon Aug 25 11:30 pm

La Liga - Week 3 of 41

Alavés What If?

The Alavés What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Alavés What If?

Next Game - Atletico Madrid (0‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 1 0 6 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 10%
Current Standings 1 1 0 3 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 13%
Lose Next Game 1 2 0 3 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 18%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 9%
Current Standings 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 13%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 19%
Best Case Scenario
   Elche beats Levante
   Alavés beats Atletico Madrid
   Rayo Vallecano beats Barcelona
 Worst Case Scenario
   Levante beats Elche
   Atletico Madrid beats Alavés
   Barcelona beats Rayo Vallecano
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
36 of 36 100% 37 1 0 111 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 36 97% 36 2 0 108 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 36 83% 31 7 0 93 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 36 69% 26 12 0 78 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 36 64% 24 14 0 72 88% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 36 61% 23 15 0 69 70% 27% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 36 58% 22 16 0 66 39% 42% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 36 56% 21 17 0 63 10% 32% 34% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 36 53% 20 18 0 60 1% 7% 20% 31% 25% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 36 50% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% 1% 6% 17% 28% 26% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 36 47% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 21% 27% 24% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 36 44% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 21% 29% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 36 42% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 13% 25% 28% 20% 8% 2%
14 of 36 39% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 24% 31% 32%
13 of 36 36% 14 24 0 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 83%
10 of 36 28% 11 27 0 33 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 36 14% 6 32 0 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 36 0% 1 37 0 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round