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Tue Sep 30 4:15 pm

La Liga - Week 8 of 41

Espanyol What If?

The Espanyol What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Espanyol What If?

Next Game - Real Betis (3‑1‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 4 1 3 15 <1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6%
Current Standings 3 1 3 12 <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 8%
Lose Next Game 3 2 3 12 <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 9%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6%
Current Standings <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 8%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 9%
Best Case Scenario
   Espanyol beats Real Betis
 Worst Case Scenario
   Real Betis beats Espanyol
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 34 1 3 105 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 33 2 3 102 97% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 32 3 3 99 89% 11% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 31 4 3 96 77% 22% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 30 5 3 93 61% 37% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 29 6 3 90 44% 48% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 28 7 3 87 28% 54% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 27 8 3 84 15% 51% 30% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 26 9 3 81 7% 38% 41% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 25 10 3 78 2% 24% 44% 25% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 24 11 3 75 1% 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 23 12 3 72 <1% 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 22 13 3 69 <1% 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 21 14 3 66 <1% <1% 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 31 55% 20 15 3 63 <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 31 52% 19 16 3 60 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 18 17 3 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17% 31% 29% 14% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 17 18 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 29% 30% 16% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 16 19 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 31% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 15 20 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 24% 32% 22% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 31 35% 14 21 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 32% 26% 11% 2% <1% <1%
10 of 31 32% 13 22 3 42 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% <1%
9 of 31 29% 12 23 3 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
8 of 31 26% 11 24 3 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 34% 32% 15%
7 of 31 23% 10 25 3 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 38% 41%
6 of 31 19% 9 26 3 30 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 25% 70%
5 of 31 16% 8 27 3 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
0 of 31 0% 3 32 3 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round