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Mon Sep 15 6:00 pm

La Liga - Week 6 of 41

Valencia What If?

The Valencia What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Valencia What If?

Next Game - Athletic Bilbao (3‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 2 1 7 1% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 11%
Current Standings 1 2 1 4 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 14%
Lose Next Game 1 3 1 4 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 15%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 1% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 11%
Current Standings 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 14%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 15%
Best Case Scenario
   Valencia beats Athletic Bilbao
 Worst Case Scenario
   Athletic Bilbao beats Valencia
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
34 of 34 100% 35 2 1 106 97% 3% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
33 of 34 97% 34 3 1 103 90% 10% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 34 94% 33 4 1 100 82% 18% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 34 91% 32 5 1 97 70% 29% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 31 6 1 94 58% 40% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 34 85% 30 7 1 91 44% 50% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 34 82% 29 8 1 88 29% 55% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 34 79% 28 9 1 85 17% 51% 27% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 34 76% 27 10 1 82 9% 40% 38% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 26 11 1 79 3% 25% 41% 24% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 34 71% 25 12 1 76 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 34 68% 24 13 1 73 <1% 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 34 65% 23 14 1 70 <1% 1% 8% 24% 34% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 34 62% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 34 59% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 34 56% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 14% 28% 30% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 34 53% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 28% 30% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 13% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 27% 31% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 33% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 34 38% 14 23 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1%
12 of 34 35% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% <1%
11 of 34 32% 12 25 1 37 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3%
10 of 34 29% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 35% 33% 13%
9 of 34 26% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 39% 33%
8 of 34 24% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 30% 61%
7 of 34 21% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14% 84%
5 of 34 15% 6 31 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 34 0% 1 36 1 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round