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Mon Aug 25 11:30 pm

La Liga - Week 3 of 41

Villarreal What If?

The Villarreal What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Villarreal What If?

Next Game - Celta Vigo (0‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 0 0 9 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4%
Current Standings 2 0 0 6 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 8%
Lose Next Game 2 1 0 6 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 9%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4%
Current Standings 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 8%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 9%
Best Case Scenario
   Villarreal beats Celta Vigo
 Worst Case Scenario
   Celta Vigo beats Villarreal
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
36 of 36 100% 38 0 0 114 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 36 97% 37 1 0 111 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 36 83% 32 6 0 96 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 36 69% 27 11 0 81 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 36 61% 24 14 0 72 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 36 58% 23 15 0 69 71% 26% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 36 56% 22 16 0 66 39% 42% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 36 53% 21 17 0 63 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 36 50% 20 18 0 60 1% 7% 21% 31% 25% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 36 47% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 28% 27% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 36 44% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 9% 21% 28% 23% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 36 42% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 22% 28% 22% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 36 39% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 13% 25% 29% 19% 7% 2%
13 of 36 36% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 24% 32% 32%
12 of 36 33% 14 24 0 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 81%
10 of 36 28% 12 26 0 36 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 36 14% 7 31 0 21 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 36 0% 2 36 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round