PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 6 5:30 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 9 of 40

Angers What If?

The Angers What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Angers What If?

Next Game - Toulouse (1‑4‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 1 4 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 11%
Current Standings 0 4 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 15%
Lose Next Game 0 5 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 11% 16%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 11%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 15%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 11% 16%
Best Case Scenario
   Angers beats Toulouse
Worst Case Scenario
   Toulouse beats Angers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
27 of 27 100% 27 4 3 84 69% 30% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 27 96% 26 5 3 81 48% 47% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 27 93% 25 6 3 78 27% 55% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 27 89% 24 7 3 75 12% 49% 33% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 27 85% 23 8 3 72 4% 30% 44% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 27 81% 22 9 3 69 1% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 27 78% 21 10 3 66 <1% 4% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 27 74% 20 11 3 63 <1% 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 27 70% 19 12 3 60 <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 27 67% 18 13 3 57 <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 27 63% 17 14 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 34% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 27 59% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 27 56% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 27 52% 14 17 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 27 48% 13 18 3 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 27 44% 12 19 3 39 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% <1% <1%
11 of 27 41% 11 20 3 36 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 27% 38% 21% 5% <1% <1%
10 of 27 37% 10 21 3 33 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 37% 19% 4% <1%
9 of 27 33% 9 22 3 30 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
8 of 27 30% 8 23 3 27 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 35% 35% 15%
7 of 27 26% 7 24 3 24 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 40% 42%
6 of 27 22% 6 25 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 22% 75%
5 of 27 19% 5 26 3 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
0 of 27 0% 0 31 3 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff