The Most Important Games for AS Monaco are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. AS Monaco fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) | Game Winner | AS Monaco Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and  UEFA Champions League Participant | 2** UEFA Champions League Participant | 3** UEFA Champions League Participant | 4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier | 5# UEFA Europa League Participant | 6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff | ||||
| AS Monaco (6‑2‑2) vs Paris FC (3‑5‑2) | 21 | AS Monaco Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris FC Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lorient (2‑4‑3) vs Lens (6‑3‑1) | 4 | Lorient Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lens Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Auxerre (2‑7‑1) vs Marseille (5‑3‑1) | 3 | Auxerre Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marseille Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stade Rennais (2‑2‑6) vs Strasbourg (6‑3) | 2 | Stade Rennais Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brest (2‑5‑3) vs Lyon (6‑3‑1) | 2 | Brest Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lyon Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angers (2‑4‑4) vs Lille (5‑3‑2) | 2 | Angers Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lille Wins | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Le Havre (3‑4‑3) vs Toulouse (4‑4‑2) | 2 | Le Havre Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Toulouse Wins | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Metz (1‑7‑2) vs Nantes (2‑5‑3) | 1 | Metz Wins | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nantes Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nice (5‑3‑2) vs Paris SG (6‑1‑2) | 1 | Nice Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||