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Sat Sep 12 2:15 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 4 of 41

Auxerre What If?

The Auxerre What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Auxerre What If?

Next Game - Nice (0‑1‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 1 3 0 3 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 17%
Current Standings 0 3 0 0 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 23%
Lose Next Game 0 4 0 0 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 10% 29%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
31 of 31 100% 31 3 0 93 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 30 4 0 90 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 25 9 0 75 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 22 12 0 66 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 21 13 0 63 76% 22% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 20 14 0 60 46% 41% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 19 15 0 57 14% 37% 32% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 18 16 0 54 1% 8% 24% 33% 23% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 31 55% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% 1% 8% 21% 31% 25% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 25% 30% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15% 27% 29% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 2%
13 of 31 42% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 25% 36% 29%
12 of 31 39% 12 22 0 36 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 75%
10 of 31 32% 10 24 0 30 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 31 16% 5 29 0 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 31 0% 0 34 0 0 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff