PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Aug 29 5:30 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 3 of 40

Brest What If?

The Brest What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brest What If?

Next Game - Paris FC (0‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 1 2 1 4 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 14%
Current Standings 0 2 1 1 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 19%
Lose Next Game 0 3 1 1 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 10% 26%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 19%
Current Standings 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 19%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 20%
Best Case Scenario
   Nice beats Le Havre
Worst Case Scenario
   Le Havre beats Nice
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
31 of 31 100% 31 2 1 94 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 30 3 1 91 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 25 8 1 76 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 22 11 1 67 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 21 12 1 64 82% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 20 13 1 61 56% 36% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 19 14 1 58 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 18 15 1 55 3% 15% 32% 30% 15% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 31 55% 17 16 1 52 <1% 1% 5% 16% 29% 29% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 22% 30% 24% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 25% 30% 21% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 16% 29% 29% 15% 4% 1%
13 of 31 42% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15% 30% 33% 18%
12 of 31 39% 12 21 1 37 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 26% 66%
11 of 31 35% 11 22 1 34 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 93%
10 of 31 32% 10 23 1 31 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
5 of 31 16% 5 28 1 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 31 0% 0 33 1 1 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff