The Lens What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 11 | 9 | 6 | 39 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 28% | 27% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 10 | 9 | 6 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 10 | 10 | 6 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 28% | 27% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Lens beats Stade Rennais |
Worst Case Scenario Stade Rennais beats Lens |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | X | 7% | 39% | 42% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | X | <1% | 6% | 29% | 42% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 41% | 32% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 44% | 39% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 52% | 32% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 47% | 30% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 46% | 32% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 51% | 31% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 62% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 10 | 18 | 6 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 35% | 45% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% |