The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 9% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Metz beats Marseille Nice beats AS Monaco Lille beats Paris SG |
Worst Case Scenario Marseille beats Metz AS Monaco beats Nice Paris SG beats Lille |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 28 of 28 | 100% | 31 | 2 | 1 | 94 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 28 | 93% | 29 | 4 | 1 | 88 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 28 | 89% | 28 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 86% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 28 | 86% | 27 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 69% | 28% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 28 | 82% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 48% | 42% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 28 | 79% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 28% | 47% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 28 | 75% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 13% | 39% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 28 | 71% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 5% | 24% | 40% | 25% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 28 | 68% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | 1% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 28 | 64% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | <1% | 3% | 16% | 35% | 32% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 28 | 61% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 22% | 37% | 26% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 28 | 57% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 37% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 28 | 54% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 30% | 35% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 14 of 28 | 50% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 32% | 33% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 28 | 46% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 32% | 31% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 28 | 43% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 33% | 30% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 28 | 39% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 32% | 32% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 28 | 36% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 31% | 32% | 16% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 28 | 32% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 28 | 29% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 28% | 35% | 19% | 5% | <1% |
| 7 of 28 | 25% | 10 | 23 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 37% | 20% | 4% |
| 6 of 28 | 21% | 9 | 24 | 1 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 39% | 21% |
| 5 of 28 | 18% | 8 | 25 | 1 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 51% |
| 4 of 28 | 14% | 7 | 26 | 1 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 81% |
| 0 of 28 | 0% | 3 | 30 | 1 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |