The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
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W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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Win Next Game | 13 | 5 | 8 | 47 | <1% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | <1% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 22% | 28% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 10% | 20% | 26% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | <1% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 29% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Lille beats Nantes Angers beats AS Monaco Le Havre beats Lyon |
Worst Case Scenario Nantes beats Lille AS Monaco beats Angers Lyon beats Le Havre |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
9 of 9 | 100% | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | <1% | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 20 | 6 | 8 | 68 | <1% | 68% | 30% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 19 | 7 | 8 | 65 | <1% | 25% | 50% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | X | 3% | 25% | 46% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 9 | 56% | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | X | <1% | 3% | 21% | 47% | 28% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 9 | 44% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 53% | 24% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 9 | 33% | 15 | 11 | 8 | 53 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 23% | 48% | 25% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 9 | 22% | 14 | 12 | 8 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 42% | 31% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 9 | 11% | 13 | 13 | 8 | 47 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 38% | 42% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
0 of 9 | 0% | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 38% | 48% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |