The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Metz beats Toulouse |
Worst Case Scenario Toulouse beats Metz |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 26 of 26 | 100% | 31 | 3 | 0 | 93 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 26 | 96% | 30 | 4 | 0 | 90 | 98% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 26 | 92% | 29 | 5 | 0 | 87 | 91% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 26 | 88% | 28 | 6 | 0 | 84 | 77% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 26 | 85% | 27 | 7 | 0 | 81 | 58% | 37% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 26 | 81% | 26 | 8 | 0 | 78 | 36% | 48% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 26 | 77% | 25 | 9 | 0 | 75 | 18% | 45% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 26 | 73% | 24 | 10 | 0 | 72 | 7% | 31% | 42% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 26 | 69% | 23 | 11 | 0 | 69 | 2% | 16% | 40% | 32% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 26 | 65% | 22 | 12 | 0 | 66 | <1% | 6% | 26% | 40% | 23% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 26 | 62% | 21 | 13 | 0 | 63 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 32% | 37% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 26 | 58% | 20 | 14 | 0 | 60 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 36% | 33% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 26 | 54% | 19 | 15 | 0 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 37% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 26 | 50% | 18 | 16 | 0 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 26 | 46% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 36% | 24% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 26 | 42% | 16 | 18 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 34% | 23% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 26 | 38% | 15 | 19 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 34% | 24% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 26 | 35% | 14 | 20 | 0 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 34% | 26% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 26 | 31% | 13 | 21 | 0 | 39 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 34% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 26 | 27% | 12 | 22 | 0 | 36 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 34% | 30% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| 6 of 26 | 23% | 11 | 23 | 0 | 33 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 36% | 31% | 10% | 1% |
| 5 of 26 | 19% | 10 | 24 | 0 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 39% | 30% | 7% |
| 4 of 26 | 15% | 9 | 25 | 0 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 45% | 27% |
| 3 of 26 | 12% | 8 | 26 | 0 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 36% | 57% |
| 2 of 26 | 8% | 7 | 27 | 0 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| 0 of 26 | 0% | 5 | 29 | 0 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |