The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 2% | 6% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Nantes beats Lens Paris SG beats Stade Rennais Lyon beats Lorient |
Worst Case Scenario Lens beats Nantes Stade Rennais beats Paris SG Lorient beats Lyon |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 27 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 82% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 59% | 36% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 34% | 49% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 13% | 44% | 35% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 4% | 26% | 45% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 1% | 9% | 35% | 42% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 44% | 32% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 45% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 33% | 40% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 36% | 36% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 36% | 34% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 35% | 33% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 33% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 26% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 35% | 28% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 34% | 15% | 2% | <1% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 39% | 18% | 3% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 30% | 42% | 21% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 33% | 59% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 7 | 24 | 3 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 89% |