The Montpellier What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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Win Next Game | 5 | 14 | 3 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 65% |
Current Standings | 4 | 14 | 3 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 77% |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 15 | 3 | 15 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 81% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 23% | 63% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 77% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 89% |
Best Case Scenario Marseille beats Saint-Etienne Montpellier beats Lyon Nice beats Le Havre |
Worst Case Scenario Saint-Etienne beats Marseille Lyon beats Montpellier Le Havre beats Nice |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
13 of 13 | 100% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 34% | 36% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 13 | 92% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 28% | 41% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
11 of 13 | 85% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 43% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 13 | 77% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 44% | 26% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 13 | 69% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 41% | 29% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 13 | 62% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 34% | 35% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 13 | 54% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 24% | 40% | 24% | 5% | <1% |
6 of 13 | 46% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 41% | 35% | 6% |
5 of 13 | 38% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 49% | 37% |
4 of 13 | 31% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 81% |
3 of 13 | 23% | 7 | 24 | 3 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
2 of 13 | 15% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
1 of 13 | 8% | 5 | 26 | 3 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 13 | 0% | 4 | 27 | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |