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Mon Oct 12 3:00 am

Ligue 1 - Week 9 of 41

Nice What If?

The Nice What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nice What If?

Next Game - Lyon (3‑1‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 3 2 2 11 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 9%
Current Standings 2 2 2 8 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 11% 14%
Lose Next Game 2 3 2 8 <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 14%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
28 of 28 100% 30 2 2 92 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 27 5 2 83 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 26 6 2 80 76% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 25 7 2 77 55% 38% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 24 8 2 74 34% 46% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 23 9 2 71 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 22 10 2 68 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 21 11 2 65 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 28 64% 20 12 2 62 <1% 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 28 61% 19 13 2 59 <1% <1% 3% 14% 31% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
16 of 28 57% 18 14 2 56 <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
15 of 28 54% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
14 of 28 50% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 28 43% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 28 39% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1%
10 of 28 36% 12 20 2 38 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1% <1%
9 of 28 32% 11 21 2 35 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% 1%
8 of 28 29% 10 22 2 32 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
7 of 28 25% 9 23 2 29 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 34% 38% 16%
6 of 28 21% 8 24 2 26 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 41% 41%
5 of 28 18% 7 25 2 23 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 26% 69%
4 of 28 14% 6 26 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 90%
0 of 28 0% 2 30 2 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff