The Nice What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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Win Next Game | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40 | <1% | 16% | 46% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 10 | 4 | 7 | 37 | <1% | 14% | 44% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 5 | 7 | 37 | <1% | 7% | 36% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 17% | 52% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | <1% | 14% | 44% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 7% | 33% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Nantes beats AS Monaco Nice beats Le Havre Stade Rennais beats Lille |
Worst Case Scenario AS Monaco beats Nantes Le Havre beats Nice Lille beats Stade Rennais |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
13 of 13 | 100% | 23 | 4 | 7 | 76 | 8% | 84% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 13 | 92% | 22 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 2% | 74% | 25% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 13 | 85% | 21 | 6 | 7 | 70 | <1% | 51% | 49% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 13 | 77% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | <1% | 28% | 69% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 13 | 69% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | <1% | 10% | 70% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 13 | 62% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | <1% | 2% | 44% | 43% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 13 | 54% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 13% | 40% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 13 | 46% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 35% | 37% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 13 | 38% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 40% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
4 of 13 | 31% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 43% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 13 | 23% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 43% | 27% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 13 | 15% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 37% | 33% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 13 | 8% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 27% | 37% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
0 of 13 | 0% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 36% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% |