PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 9 10:15 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 31 of 40

Saint-Etienne What If?

The Saint-Etienne What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saint-Etienne What If?

Next Game - Montpellier (4‑18‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 6 15 5 23 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 14% 35% 44%
Current Standings 5 15 5 20 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 25% 62%
Lose Next Game 5 16 5 20 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 75%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 15% 36% 43%
Current Standings X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 25% 62%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 85%
Best Case Scenario
   Lyon beats Le Havre
   Saint-Etienne beats Montpellier
Worst Case Scenario
   Le Havre beats Lyon
   Montpellier beats Saint-Etienne
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
9 of 9 100% 14 15 5 47 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 37% 38% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
8 of 9 89% 13 16 5 44 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 25% 45% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 of 9 78% 12 17 5 41 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 18% 49% 29% 2% <1% <1% <1%
6 of 9 67% 11 18 5 38 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 18% 54% 25% 2% <1% <1%
5 of 9 56% 10 19 5 35 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 22% 49% 24% 3% <1%
4 of 9 44% 9 20 5 32 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 22% 47% 27% 2%
3 of 9 33% 8 21 5 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 20% 56% 23%
2 of 9 22% 7 22 5 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 30% 68%
1 of 9 11% 6 23 5 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
0 of 9 0% 5 24 5 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff