The Most Important Games for Toulouse are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toulouse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toulouse Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||||
| Toulouse (2‑0) vs Paris SG (2‑0) |
43 | Toulouse Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Angers (1‑1) vs Stade Rennais (1‑1) |
2 | Angers Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Stade Rennais Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Marseille (1‑1) vs Lyon (2‑0) |
2 | Marseille Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Lyon Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Le Havre (0‑2) vs Nice (1‑1) |
1 | Le Havre Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Nice Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Lorient (1‑1) vs Lille (1‑0‑1) |
1 | Lorient Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Lille Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Paris FC (0‑2) vs Metz (0‑2) |
1 | Paris FC Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Metz Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Nantes (0‑2) vs Auxerre (1‑1) |
1 | Nantes Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Auxerre Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| AS Monaco (1‑1) vs Strasbourg (2‑0) |
0 | AS Monaco Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | ||