The Most Important Games for Toulouse are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toulouse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toulouse Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Toulouse (4‑5‑5) vs Strasbourg (7‑6) |
8 | Toulouse Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Paris SG (9‑2‑2) vs Stade Rennais (6‑2‑6) |
1 | Paris SG Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Stade Rennais Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Lorient (3‑5‑5) vs Lyon (7‑4‑3) |
1 | Lorient Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Lyon Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Brest (4‑6‑4) vs AS Monaco (7‑5‑2) |
1 | Brest Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| AS Monaco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Le Havre (3‑6‑5) vs Paris FC (4‑7‑3) |
0 | Le Havre Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Paris FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Nice (5‑6‑2) vs Angers (4‑6‑4) |
0 | Nice Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Angers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Auxerre (2‑9‑3) vs Metz (3‑9‑2) |
0 | Auxerre Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Metz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Nantes (2‑7‑5) vs Lens (10‑3‑1) |
0 | Nantes Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Lens Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Lille (8‑4‑2) vs Marseille (7‑3‑2) |
0 | Lille Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Marseille Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||