The Most Important Games for Toulouse are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toulouse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toulouse Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Toulouse (8‑9‑7) vs Marseille (13‑7‑4) |
2 | Toulouse Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marseille Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lorient (8‑7‑9) vs Lille (12‑8‑4) |
1 | Lorient Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 14% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lille Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nice (6‑12‑6) vs Stade Rennais (11‑6‑7) |
0 | Nice Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stade Rennais Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 23% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Auxerre (4‑14‑6) vs Strasbourg (10‑9‑5) |
0 | Auxerre Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris SG (18‑3‑3) vs AS Monaco (11‑9‑4) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| AS Monaco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 24% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Le Havre (6‑10‑8) vs Brest (9‑9‑6) |
0 | Le Havre Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brest Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris FC (6‑10‑8) vs Lyon (14‑7‑3) |
0 | Paris FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lyon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Metz (3‑17‑4) vs Lens (17‑5‑2) |
0 | Metz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lens Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nantes (4‑15‑5) vs Angers (8‑11‑5) |
0 | Nantes Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 23% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||