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Mon Oct 12 3:00 am

Ligue 1 - Week 9 of 41

Troyes What If?

The Troyes What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Troyes What If?

Next Game - Lens (2‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 2 4 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 10% 15% 51%
Current Standings 1 4 1 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 13% 59%
Lose Next Game 1 5 1 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 13% 61%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
28 of 28 100% 29 4 1 88 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 27 6 1 82 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 26 7 1 79 72% 25% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 25 8 1 76 52% 40% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 24 9 1 73 31% 46% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 23 10 1 70 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 22 11 1 67 5% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 21 12 1 64 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 20 13 1 61 <1% 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 28 64% 19 14 1 58 <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 28 61% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 28 57% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 28 54% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 28 43% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% <1% <1%
11 of 28 39% 12 21 1 37 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% <1%
10 of 28 36% 11 22 1 34 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
9 of 28 32% 10 23 1 31 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 36% 32% 12%
8 of 28 29% 9 24 1 28 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 41% 36%
7 of 28 25% 8 25 1 25 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 28% 66%
6 of 28 21% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
5 of 28 18% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
0 of 28 0% 1 32 1 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff