The Bowling Green Falcons What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Bowling Green plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 1 | 58% | 42% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 6 | 1 | 32% | 25% | 23% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 2 | X | 6% | 51% | 43% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 32% | 25% | 23% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | 55% | 45% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Ball State beats Ohio Bowling Green beats Miami OH |
Worst Case Scenario Ohio beats Ball State Miami OH beats Bowling Green |
|||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
| 1 of 1 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 59% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 1 | 0% | 6 | 2 | X | 6% | 51% | 43% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |