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Sat Oct 10 7:00 pm

MAC Football - Week 7 of 13

Eastern Michigan Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Eastern Michigan Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Eastern Michigan Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Eastern Michigan Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Eastern Michigan Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eastern Michigan
(4‑3)

vs
Toledo
(4‑2)
23 Eastern Michigan Wins 22% 20% 17% 14% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Toledo Wins 9% 10% 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 9% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Sacramento St.
(1‑5)

vs
Ohio
(4‑2)
3 Sacramento St. Wins 19% 15% 12% 11% 11% 9% 9% 6% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Ohio Wins 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 6% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
UMass
(4‑2)

vs
Buffalo
(3‑3)
2 UMass Wins 16% 16% 13% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Buffalo Wins 16% 15% 14% 13% 11% 10% 8% 6% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Central Michigan
(3‑3)

vs
Western Michigan
(4‑2)
2 Central Michigan Wins 18% 15% 13% 11% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Western Michigan Wins 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Akron
(1‑5)

vs
Miami OH
(3‑3)
1 Akron Wins 17% 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Miami OH Wins 16% 15% 14% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Ball State
(1‑5)

vs
Bowling Green
(2‑4)
1 Ball State Wins 17% 15% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Bowling Green Wins 16% 15% 13% 12% 10% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant