The Ohio Bobcats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Ohio plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 1 | 34% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 6 | 1 | 27% | 60% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 2 | X | 29% | 66% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Best Case Scenario | 42% | 48% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 27% | 60% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | 21% | 64% | 13% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Ball State beats Bowling Green |
Worst Case Scenario Bowling Green beats Ball State |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
1 of 1 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 33% | 67% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 1 | 0% | 6 | 2 | X | 29% | 67% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |