The Most Important Games for the Evansville Aces are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aces final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Evansville Aces fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Evansville Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Murray State (16‑5) vs Illinois St. (14‑7) |
0 | Murray State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 26% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 61% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 61% | ||
| Belmont (18‑3) vs Valparaiso (10‑10) |
0 | Belmont Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 61% | ||
| Valparaiso Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 61% | ||
| Evansville (5‑15) vs Drake (11‑10) |
0 | Evansville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 31% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 61% | ||
| Drake Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 65% | ||
| Southern Illinois (8‑12) vs Northern Iowa (13‑8) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 26% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 61% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 26% | 61% | ||