The Atlanta United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Atlanta United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 12 | 3 | 24 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 76% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 12 | 3 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 83% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 13 | 3 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 76% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 83% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% |
|
Best Case Scenario Atlanta United beats Charlotte FC |
Worst Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats Atlanta United |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 13 of 13 | 100% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | 37% | 48% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 13 | 92% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 10% | 39% | 39% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 13 | 85% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 39% | 36% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 13 | 77% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 38% | 36% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 13 | 69% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 38% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% |
| 8 of 13 | 62% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 34% | 39% | 15% | 2% |
| 7 of 13 | 54% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 27% | 40% | 27% |
| 6 of 13 | 46% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 81% |
| 5 of 13 | 38% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 4 of 13 | 31% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 13 | 23% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 13 | 15% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 1 of 13 | 8% | 7 | 24 | 3 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 13 | 0% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |