The Charlotte FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Charlotte FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 22% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Current Standings | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 22% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Current Standings | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
Worst Case Scenario | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
Best Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats Crew |
Worst Case Scenario Crew beats Charlotte FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
24 of 24 | 100% | 30 | 3 | 1 | 91 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 24 | 83% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 93% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 24 | 79% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 82% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 24 | 75% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 64% | 32% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
17 of 24 | 71% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 40% | 45% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
16 of 24 | 67% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | 19% | 44% | 29% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 24 | 63% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | 6% | 28% | 39% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 24 | 58% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | 1% | 10% | 31% | 36% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 24 | 54% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 34% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 24 | 50% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 29% | 33% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 24 | 46% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 34% | 19% | 5% | <1% |
10 of 24 | 42% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 36% | 20% | 5% |
9 of 24 | 38% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 37% | 26% |
8 of 24 | 33% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 62% |
7 of 24 | 29% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 89% |
5 of 24 | 21% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 24 | 0% | 6 | 27 | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |