The Charlotte FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Charlotte FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 18 | 11 | 2 | 56 | 20% | 28% | 27% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17 | 11 | 2 | 53 | 9% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 17 | 12 | 2 | 53 | 3% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 27% | 39% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 9% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 7% | 17% | 31% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats NY City FC D.C. United beats Inter Miami CF Galaxy beats FC Cincinnati |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats Charlotte FC Inter Miami CF beats D.C. United FC Cincinnati beats Galaxy |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 66% | 30% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 11% | 41% | 38% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | 3% | 24% | 49% | 21% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 31% | 41% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 47% | 40% | 2% | ^ |