The D.C. United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the D.C. United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 8 | 12 | 33 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 44% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 8 | 12 | 30 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 62% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 68% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 41% |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 62% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 72% |
|
Best Case Scenario Fire beats NY City FC Atlanta United beats FC Cincinnati D.C. United beats Inter Miami CF |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats Fire FC Cincinnati beats Atlanta United Inter Miami CF beats D.C. United |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | X | <1% | 5% | 26% | 44% | 23% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 13 | 9 | 12 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | 55% | 21% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 28% | 56% | 14% | 1% | <1% |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 11 | 11 | 12 | 45 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 28% | 44% | 22% | 4% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 10 | 12 | 12 | 42 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 32% | 58% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 8 | 14 | 12 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 7 | 15 | 12 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 6 | 16 | 12 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |