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Sun Mar 30 9:30 pm

MLS - Week 7 of 35

Dynamo What If?

The Dynamo What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dynamo play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dynamo What If?

Next Game - LAFC (3‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Win Next Game 1 4 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 89%
Current Standings 0 4 2 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 91%
Lose Next Game 0 5 2 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 93%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 89%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 91%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 93%
Best Case Scenario
   Dynamo beats LAFC
 Worst Case Scenario
   LAFC beats Dynamo
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
28 of 28 100% 28 4 2 86 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 26 6 2 80 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 25 7 2 77 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 24 8 2 74 72% 26% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 23 9 2 71 54% 38% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 28 79% 22 10 2 68 31% 46% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 28 75% 21 11 2 65 15% 40% 33% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 28 71% 20 12 2 62 5% 24% 37% 26% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 28 68% 19 13 2 59 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 28 64% 18 14 2 56 <1% 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1%
17 of 28 61% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1%
16 of 28 57% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 5% 1%
15 of 28 54% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5%
14 of 28 50% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 34% 24%
13 of 28 46% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 56%
12 of 28 43% 12 20 2 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
10 of 28 36% 10 22 2 32 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 28 18% 5 27 2 17 X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 28 0% 0 32 2 2 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs