The Dynamo What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dynamo play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 8 | 11 | 5 | 29 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 64% |
Current Standings | 7 | 11 | 5 | 26 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 76% |
Lose Next Game | 7 | 12 | 5 | 26 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 81% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 61% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 76% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
Best Case Scenario Dynamo beats Union Sounders beats Earthquakes FC Cincinnati beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario Union beats Dynamo Earthquakes beats Sounders Real Salt Lake beats FC Cincinnati |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
11 of 11 | 100% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 4% | 21% | 38% | 29% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
10 of 11 | 91% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 40% | 33% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 11 | 82% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 48% | 31% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 11 | 73% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 23% | 51% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 11 | 64% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 26% | 42% | 24% | 6% | <1% |
6 of 11 | 55% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 36% | 31% | 13% |
5 of 11 | 45% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 27% | 64% |
4 of 11 | 36% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
3 of 11 | 27% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 11 | 18% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 11 | 9% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 11 | 0% | 7 | 22 | 5 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |