The Most Important Games for the Earthquakes are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Earthquakes final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Earthquakes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Earthquakes Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| NY City FC (2‑2‑2) vs Minnesota United (3‑1‑2) |
5 | NY City FC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 48% | ||
| Whitecaps (4‑1‑1) vs Rapids (3‑1‑2) |
1 | Whitecaps Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 47% | ||
| Sporting KC (0‑5‑1) vs St. Louis City SC (2‑2‑2) |
1 | Sporting KC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| Atlanta United (2‑2‑2) vs FC Dallas (3‑2‑1) |
1 | Atlanta United Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| Austin FC (4‑2) vs Timbers (3‑2‑1) |
1 | Austin FC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| Timbers Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| Sounders (1‑2‑3) vs San Diego FC (3‑1‑2) |
1 | Sounders Wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| LAFC (3‑3) vs Dynamo (0‑4‑2) |
0 | LAFC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 47% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑4‑2) vs Real Salt Lake (2‑4) |
0 | Galaxy Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 47% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 47% | ||