The Most Important Games for the Earthquakes are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Earthquakes final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Earthquakes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Earthquakes Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (9‑1‑2) vs Sounders (6‑1‑3) |
8 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 40% | 45% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 28% | 45% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (9‑1‑2) vs FC Dallas (5‑3‑4) |
7 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 36% | 45% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 26% | 46% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Dallas (5‑3‑4) vs Whitecaps (8‑1‑2) |
3 | FC Dallas Wins | 39% | 40% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | 30% | 47% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dynamo (6‑5) vs Whitecaps (8‑1‑2) |
2 | Dynamo Wins | 41% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | 31% | 47% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Galaxy (4‑4‑4) vs Sounders (6‑1‑3) |
1 | Galaxy Wins | 34% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 34% | 44% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nashville SC (7‑1‑3) vs LAFC (6‑3‑3) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | 34% | 44% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 34% | 44% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rapids (4‑7‑1) vs Minnesota United (6‑3‑3) |
1 | Rapids Wins | 34% | 44% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 33% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (2‑6‑3) vs LAFC (6‑3‑3) |
0 | St. Louis City SC Wins | 33% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Revolution (7‑3‑1) vs Minnesota United (6‑3‑3) |
0 | Revolution Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 34% | 44% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Timbers (4‑6‑1) vs CF Montréal (4‑7) |
0 | Timbers Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 33% | 44% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Austin FC (3‑4‑5) vs Sporting KC (1‑8‑2) |
0 | Austin FC Wins | 34% | 44% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | 33% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (6‑2‑4) vs Timbers (4‑6‑1) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Timbers Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego FC (3‑5‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (4‑4‑4) |
0 | San Diego FC Wins | 34% | 44% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 33% | 45% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (2‑6‑3) vs D.C. United (4‑4‑4) |
0 | St. Louis City SC Wins | 33% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 33% | 45% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (6‑4‑1) vs Rapids (4‑7‑1) |
0 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 33% | 45% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego FC (3‑5‑4) vs Austin FC (3‑4‑5) |
0 | San Diego FC Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | 33% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (6‑4‑1) vs Dynamo (6‑5) |
0 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 34% | 44% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Galaxy (4‑4‑4) vs Sporting KC (1‑8‑2) |
0 | Galaxy Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | 34% | 45% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||