The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Standings | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 44% |
|
Best Case Scenario Austin FC beats Charlotte FC Minnesota United beats Nashville SC FC Cincinnati beats Toronto FC |
Worst Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats Austin FC Nashville SC beats Minnesota United Toronto FC beats FC Cincinnati |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 32 of 32 | 100% | 33 | 1 | 0 | 99 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 32 | 94% | 31 | 3 | 0 | 93 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 32 | 78% | 26 | 8 | 0 | 78 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 32 | 63% | 21 | 13 | 0 | 63 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 19 of 32 | 59% | 20 | 14 | 0 | 60 | 68% | 28% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 of 32 | 56% | 19 | 15 | 0 | 57 | 36% | 44% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 17 of 32 | 53% | 18 | 16 | 0 | 54 | 9% | 30% | 36% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 32 | 50% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 51 | 1% | 5% | 18% | 31% | 28% | 14% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 32 | 47% | 16 | 18 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 28% | 27% | 15% | 4% | 1% |
| 14 of 32 | 44% | 15 | 19 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 26% | 29% | 27% |
| 13 of 32 | 41% | 14 | 20 | 0 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% |
| 10 of 32 | 31% | 11 | 23 | 0 | 33 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 5 of 32 | 16% | 6 | 28 | 0 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 32 | 0% | 1 | 33 | 0 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |