The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 33% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 48% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 32% |
| Current Standings | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 50% |
|
Best Case Scenario FC Cincinnati beats Atlanta United LAFC beats Inter Miami CF San Diego FC beats CF Montréal |
Worst Case Scenario Atlanta United beats FC Cincinnati Inter Miami CF beats LAFC CF Montréal beats San Diego FC |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 34 of 34 | 100% | 34 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 34 | 88% | 30 | 4 | 0 | 90 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 34 | 74% | 25 | 9 | 0 | 75 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 22 of 34 | 65% | 22 | 12 | 0 | 66 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 21 of 34 | 62% | 21 | 13 | 0 | 63 | 84% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 20 of 34 | 59% | 20 | 14 | 0 | 60 | 63% | 32% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 19 of 34 | 56% | 19 | 15 | 0 | 57 | 29% | 43% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 of 34 | 53% | 18 | 16 | 0 | 54 | 6% | 24% | 36% | 24% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 17 of 34 | 50% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 51 | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 30% | 20% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 34 | 47% | 16 | 18 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 24% | 30% | 21% | 9% | 2% |
| 15 of 34 | 44% | 15 | 19 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 20% | 29% | 42% |
| 14 of 34 | 41% | 14 | 20 | 0 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| 10 of 34 | 29% | 10 | 24 | 0 | 30 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 5 of 34 | 15% | 5 | 29 | 0 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 34 | 0% | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |