The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 21% |
Current Standings | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 28% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 28% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% |
Current Standings | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 28% |
Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
Best Case Scenario Toronto FC beats Whitecaps LAFC beats San Diego FC |
Worst Case Scenario Whitecaps beats Toronto FC San Diego FC beats LAFC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
29 of 29 | 100% | 32 | 2 | 0 | 96 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 29 | 86% | 28 | 6 | 0 | 84 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 29 | 83% | 27 | 7 | 0 | 81 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 29 | 79% | 26 | 8 | 0 | 78 | 77% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 29 | 76% | 25 | 9 | 0 | 75 | 60% | 36% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
21 of 29 | 72% | 24 | 10 | 0 | 72 | 42% | 45% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
20 of 29 | 69% | 23 | 11 | 0 | 69 | 25% | 47% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
19 of 29 | 66% | 22 | 12 | 0 | 66 | 12% | 39% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
18 of 29 | 62% | 21 | 13 | 0 | 63 | 5% | 25% | 40% | 25% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 29 | 59% | 20 | 14 | 0 | 60 | 1% | 11% | 32% | 36% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 29 | 55% | 19 | 15 | 0 | 57 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 35% | 31% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 29 | 52% | 18 | 16 | 0 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 36% | 27% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 29 | 48% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 36% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
13 of 29 | 45% | 16 | 18 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 26% | 35% | 21% | 7% | 1% |
12 of 29 | 41% | 15 | 19 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 27% | 36% | 21% | 6% |
11 of 29 | 38% | 14 | 20 | 0 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 28% | 34% | 25% |
10 of 29 | 34% | 13 | 21 | 0 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 29% | 59% |
9 of 29 | 31% | 12 | 22 | 0 | 36 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 86% |
5 of 29 | 17% | 8 | 26 | 0 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 29 | 0% | 3 | 31 | 0 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |