PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 30 9:30 pm

MLS - Week 7 of 35

LAFC What If?

The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

LAFC What If?

Next Game - Dynamo (0‑4‑2)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 4 3 0 12 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 22%
Current Standings 3 3 0 9 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 26%
Lose Next Game 3 4 0 9 4% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 9% 29%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 6% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 8% 22%
Current Standings 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 26%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 30%
Best Case Scenario
   LAFC beats Dynamo
   NY City FC beats Minnesota United
Worst Case Scenario
   Dynamo beats LAFC
   Minnesota United beats NY City FC
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
28 of 28 100% 31 3 0 93 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 28 6 0 84 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 27 7 0 81 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 26 8 0 78 84% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 25 9 0 75 70% 27% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 24 10 0 72 51% 40% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 28 71% 23 11 0 69 31% 46% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 28 68% 22 12 0 66 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 28 64% 21 13 0 63 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 28 61% 20 14 0 60 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 28 57% 19 15 0 57 <1% 2% 13% 32% 32% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 28 54% 18 16 0 54 <1% <1% 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2% <1%
13 of 28 46% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
12 of 28 43% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 36% 29% 11%
11 of 28 39% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 37% 35%
10 of 28 36% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 68%
9 of 28 32% 12 22 0 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
5 of 28 18% 8 26 0 24 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 28 0% 3 31 0 9 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs