PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 23 1:15 pm

MLS - Week 5 of 35

LAFC What If?

The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

LAFC What If?

Next Game - San Diego FC (2‑0‑2)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 4 2 0 12 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 21%
Current Standings 3 2 0 9 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 28%
Lose Next Game 3 3 0 9 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 28%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 22%
Current Standings 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 28%
Worst Case Scenario 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 8% 29%
Best Case Scenario
   Toronto FC beats Whitecaps
   LAFC beats San Diego FC
Worst Case Scenario
   Whitecaps beats Toronto FC
   San Diego FC beats LAFC
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
29 of 29 100% 32 2 0 96 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 28 6 0 84 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 27 7 0 81 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 26 8 0 78 77% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 25 9 0 75 60% 36% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 29 72% 24 10 0 72 42% 45% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 29 69% 23 11 0 69 25% 47% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 29 66% 22 12 0 66 12% 39% 36% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 29 62% 21 13 0 63 5% 25% 40% 25% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 20 14 0 60 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 29 55% 19 15 0 57 <1% 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 29 52% 18 16 0 54 <1% <1% 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% <1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 36% 24% 7% 1% <1%
13 of 29 45% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 26% 35% 21% 7% 1%
12 of 29 41% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 6%
11 of 29 38% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 28% 34% 25%
10 of 29 34% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 59%
9 of 29 31% 12 22 0 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
5 of 29 17% 8 26 0 24 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 3 31 0 9 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs