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Sun Feb 8 12:15 am

MLS - Week 1 of 38

LAFC What If?

The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

LAFC What If?

Next Game - Inter Miami CF (0‑0)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Win Next Game 1 0 0 3 9% 8% 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 33%
Current Standings 0 0 0 0 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 40%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 0 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 48%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Best Case Scenario 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 32%
Current Standings 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 40%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 48%
Best Case Scenario
   Fire beats Dynamo
   LAFC beats Inter Miami CF
 Worst Case Scenario
   Dynamo beats Fire
   Inter Miami CF beats LAFC
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
34 of 34 100% 34 0 0 102 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 30 4 0 90 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 25 9 0 75 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 34 65% 22 12 0 66 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 34 62% 21 13 0 63 85% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 34 59% 20 14 0 60 63% 32% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 34 56% 19 15 0 57 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 34 53% 18 16 0 54 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 17 17 0 51 <1% 3% 12% 26% 31% 19% 7% 1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 24% 30% 21% 9% 2%
15 of 34 44% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 19% 29% 42%
14 of 34 41% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
10 of 34 29% 10 24 0 30 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 34 15% 5 29 0 15 X X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 34 0% 0 34 0 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs