The Nashville SC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nashville SC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 15 | 6 | 5 | 50 | 20% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 14 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 15% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 14 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 8% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 24% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 15% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 7% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Toronto FC beats Union Nashville SC beats St. Louis City SC |
Worst Case Scenario Union beats Toronto FC St. Louis City SC beats Nashville SC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 97% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 85% | 15% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 53% | 39% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 17% | 44% | 31% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
5 of 9 | 56% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 2% | 17% | 43% | 32% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
4 of 9 | 44% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 47% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 39% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 30% | 41% | 18% | 3% | <1% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 45% | 24% | 2% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 51% | 20% |