The Nashville SC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nashville SC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 12 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 26% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 11 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 19% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 10% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 27% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 19% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 9% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
|
Best Case Scenario CF Montréal beats Inter Miami CF Nashville SC beats Union Sounders beats Crew |
Worst Case Scenario Inter Miami CF beats CF Montréal Union beats Nashville SC Crew beats Sounders |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 14 of 14 | 100% | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 14 | 93% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 99% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 14 | 86% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 14 | 79% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 82% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 14 | 71% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 59% | 36% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 14 | 64% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 28% | 48% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 14 | 57% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 7% | 32% | 41% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 14 | 50% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | <1% | 7% | 29% | 40% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 14 | 43% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 14 | 36% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 35% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
| 4 of 14 | 29% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 27% | 37% | 22% | 5% |
| 3 of 14 | 21% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 39% | 34% |
| 2 of 14 | 14% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 75% |
| 1 of 14 | 7% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 95% |
| 0 of 14 | 0% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |