The Most Important Games for the NY City FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the NY City FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. NY City FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
NY City FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| NY City FC (8‑9‑8) vs Red Bull (8‑11‑6) |
56 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 23% | ||
| Revolution (13‑7‑4) vs Orlando City SC (10‑11‑4) |
9 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Sporting KC (5‑16‑3) vs Union (9‑10‑6) |
8 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Dynamo (12‑8‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑8‑8) |
8 | Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 12% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (11‑6‑8) vs Toronto FC (6‑8‑11) |
5 | St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 12% | ||
| Nashville SC (16‑3‑6) vs Fire (11‑7‑6) |
3 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Charlotte FC (11‑7‑7) vs D.C. United (6‑7‑11) |
2 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 11% | ||
| CF Montréal (5‑14‑6) vs Crew (6‑14‑5) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑9) vs San Diego FC (8‑11‑6) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Atlanta United (6‑14‑5) vs Timbers (9‑11‑5) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Timbers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 10% | ||