The Revolution What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Revolution play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 59% |
Current Standings | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 65% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 68% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 59% |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 65% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 68% |
Best Case Scenario Revolution beats FC Cincinnati |
Worst Case Scenario FC Cincinnati beats Revolution |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
29 of 29 | 100% | 30 | 3 | 1 | 91 | 99% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
27 of 29 | 93% | 28 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 89% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
26 of 29 | 90% | 27 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 79% | 20% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 29 | 86% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 64% | 33% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 29 | 83% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 44% | 45% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
23 of 29 | 79% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 27% | 49% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
22 of 29 | 76% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 13% | 41% | 35% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
21 of 29 | 72% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | 5% | 26% | 42% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
20 of 29 | 69% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | 1% | 12% | 34% | 35% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
19 of 29 | 66% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 37% | 30% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
18 of 29 | 62% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 29 | 59% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 35% | 23% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
16 of 29 | 55% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 35% | 21% | 6% | 1% |
15 of 29 | 52% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 34% | 19% | 6% |
14 of 29 | 48% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 29% | 34% | 22% |
13 of 29 | 45% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 31% | 53% |
12 of 29 | 41% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
10 of 29 | 34% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
5 of 29 | 17% | 6 | 27 | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
0 of 29 | 0% | 1 | 32 | 1 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |