The Revolution What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Revolution play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 5% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 11% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 3% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 13% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 5% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Standings | 5% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 11% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 13% |
|
Best Case Scenario Revolution beats Crew |
Worst Case Scenario Crew beats Revolution |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 28 of 28 | 100% | 31 | 3 | 0 | 93 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 28 | 93% | 29 | 5 | 0 | 87 | 89% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 28 | 89% | 28 | 6 | 0 | 84 | 77% | 23% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 28 | 86% | 27 | 7 | 0 | 81 | 63% | 37% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 28 | 82% | 26 | 8 | 0 | 78 | 45% | 52% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 28 | 79% | 25 | 9 | 0 | 75 | 28% | 63% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 28 | 75% | 24 | 10 | 0 | 72 | 15% | 62% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 28 | 71% | 23 | 11 | 0 | 69 | 7% | 50% | 36% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 19 of 28 | 68% | 22 | 12 | 0 | 66 | 2% | 32% | 45% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 of 28 | 64% | 21 | 13 | 0 | 63 | <1% | 15% | 42% | 33% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 17 of 28 | 61% | 20 | 14 | 0 | 60 | <1% | 5% | 27% | 42% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 28 | 57% | 19 | 15 | 0 | 57 | <1% | 1% | 12% | 35% | 37% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 28 | 54% | 18 | 16 | 0 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 39% | 29% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 28 | 50% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 26% | 41% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 28 | 46% | 16 | 18 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 32% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% |
| 12 of 28 | 43% | 15 | 19 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 2% |
| 11 of 28 | 39% | 14 | 20 | 0 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 38% | 29% | 10% |
| 10 of 28 | 36% | 13 | 21 | 0 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 23% | 38% | 33% |
| 9 of 28 | 32% | 12 | 22 | 0 | 36 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% |
| 8 of 28 | 29% | 11 | 23 | 0 | 33 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 91% |
| 5 of 28 | 18% | 8 | 26 | 0 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 28 | 0% | 3 | 31 | 0 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |