PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Apr 5 2:00 am

MLS - Week 8 of 38

Revolution What If?

The Revolution What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Revolution play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Revolution What If?

Next Game - D.C. United (2‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 3 3 0 9 6% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 14%
Current Standings 2 3 0 6 6% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 16%
Lose Next Game 2 4 0 6 4% 8% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 19%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 6% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 14%
Current Standings 6% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 16%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 8% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 19%
Best Case Scenario
   Revolution beats D.C. United
Worst Case Scenario
   D.C. United beats Revolution
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
29 of 29 100% 31 3 0 93 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 29 93% 29 5 0 87 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 28 6 0 84 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 27 7 0 81 72% 28% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 26 8 0 78 54% 42% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 25 9 0 75 36% 53% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 24 10 0 72 19% 54% 24% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 29 72% 23 11 0 69 9% 42% 38% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 29 69% 22 12 0 66 3% 26% 44% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 29 66% 21 13 0 63 1% 11% 36% 38% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 29 62% 20 14 0 60 <1% 3% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 19 15 0 57 <1% 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 4% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 29 55% 18 16 0 54 <1% <1% 2% 12% 33% 37% 14% 2% <1% <1%
15 of 29 52% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% <1%
13 of 29 45% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
12 of 29 41% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 38% 34% 12%
11 of 29 38% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 22% 40% 35%
10 of 29 34% 12 22 0 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 28% 65%
9 of 29 31% 11 23 0 33 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
5 of 29 17% 7 27 0 21 X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 2 32 0 6 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs