The Revolution What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Revolution play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 46% |
Current Standings | 6 | 8 | 7 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 61% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 70% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 33% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 61% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 82% |
Best Case Scenario Revolution beats Red Bulls Revolution beats Orlando City SC Sporting KC beats NY City FC |
Worst Case Scenario Red Bulls beats Revolution Orlando City SC beats Revolution NY City FC beats Sporting KC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
13 of 13 | 100% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 10% | 35% | 37% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
12 of 13 | 92% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 1% | 10% | 31% | 39% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 13 | 85% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 29% | 41% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 13 | 77% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 46% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 13 | 69% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 24% | 41% | 26% | 6% | 1% |
8 of 13 | 62% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 37% | 32% | 11% |
7 of 13 | 54% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 36% | 49% |
6 of 13 | 46% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
5 of 13 | 38% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
4 of 13 | 31% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 13 | 23% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 13 | 15% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 13 | 8% | 7 | 20 | 7 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 13 | 0% | 6 | 21 | 7 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |