PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 30 1:15 am

MLS - Week 6 of 35

Revolution What If?

The Revolution What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Revolution play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Revolution What If?

Next Game - FC Cincinnati (3‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 2 3 1 7 <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 59%
Current Standings 1 3 1 4 <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 9% 65%
Lose Next Game 1 4 1 4 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 68%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 10% 59%
Current Standings <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 9% 65%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 68%
Best Case Scenario
   Revolution beats FC Cincinnati
Worst Case Scenario
   FC Cincinnati beats Revolution
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
29 of 29 100% 30 3 1 91 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 29 93% 28 5 1 85 89% 10% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 27 6 1 82 79% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 26 7 1 79 64% 33% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 25 8 1 76 44% 45% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 24 9 1 73 27% 49% 22% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 29 76% 23 10 1 70 13% 41% 35% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 29 72% 22 11 1 67 5% 26% 42% 22% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 29 69% 21 12 1 64 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 29 66% 20 13 1 61 <1% 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 29 62% 19 14 1 58 <1% 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1% <1%
16 of 29 55% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
15 of 29 52% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 6%
14 of 29 48% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 34% 22%
13 of 29 45% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 31% 53%
12 of 29 41% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 81%
10 of 29 34% 11 22 1 34 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 29 17% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 1 32 1 4 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs